The limits of computation
are governed by a number of different factors. In particular, there are
several physical and practical limits to the amount of computation or data storage that can be performed with a given amount of mass, volume, or energy.
Hardware limits or physical limits
Processing and memory density
The Bekenstein bound limits the amount of information that can be stored within a spherical volume to the entropy of a black hole with the same surface area.
Thermodynamics
limit the data storage of a system based on its energy, number of
particles and particle modes. In practice, it is a stronger bound than
the Bekenstein bound.
The Margolus–Levitin theorem sets a bound on the maximum computational speed per unit of energy: 6 × 1033 operations per second per joule. This bound, however, can be avoided if there is access to quantum memory.
Computational algorithms can then be designed that require arbitrarily
small amounts of energy/time per one elementary computation step.
Energy supply
Landauer's principle defines a lower theoretical limit for energy consumption: kT ln 2 consumed per irreversible state change, where k is the Boltzmann constant and T is the operating temperature of the computer. Reversible computing is not subject to this lower bound. T cannot, even in theory, be made lower than 3 kelvins, the approximate temperature of the cosmic microwave background radiation, without spending more energy on cooling than is saved in computation. However, on a timescale of 109 - 1010
years, the cosmic microwave background radiation will be decreasing
exponentially, which has been argued to eventually enable 1030 as much computations per unit of energy. Important parts of this argument have been disputed.
Building devices that approach physical limits
Several
methods have been proposed for producing computing devices or data
storage devices that approach physical and practical limits:
A cold degenerate star
could conceivably be used as a giant data storage device, by carefully
perturbing it to various excited states, in the same manner as an atom
or quantum well
used for these purposes. Such a star would have to be artificially
constructed, as no natural degenerate stars will cool to this
temperature for an extremely long time. It is also possible that nucleons on the surface of neutron stars could form complex "molecules", which some have suggested might be used for computing purposes, creating a type of computronium based on femtotechnology, which would be faster and denser than computronium based on nanotechnology.
It may be possible to use a black hole
as a data storage or computing device, if a practical mechanism for
extraction of contained information can be found. Such extraction may in
principle be possible (Stephen Hawking's proposed resolution to the black hole information paradox). This would achieve storage density exactly equal to the Bekenstein bound. Seth Lloyd calculated
the computational abilities of an "ultimate laptop" formed by
compressing a kilogram of matter into a black hole of radius 1.485 × 10−27 meters, concluding that it would only last about 10−19 seconds before evaporating due to Hawking radiation, but that during this brief time it could compute at a rate of about 5 × 1050 operations per second, ultimately performing about 1032 operations on 1016 bits (~1 PB).
Lloyd notes that "Interestingly, although this hypothetical computation
is performed at ultra-high densities and speeds, the total number of
bits available to be processed is not far from the number available to
current computers operating in more familiar surroundings."
In The Singularity is Near, Ray Kurzweil cites the calculations of Seth Lloyd that a universal-scale computer is capable of 1090 operations per second. The mass of the universe can be estimated at 3 × 1052 kilograms. If all matter in the universe was turned into a black hole, it would have a lifetime of 2.8 × 10139
seconds before evaporating due to Hawking radiation. During that
lifetime such a universal-scale black hole computer would perform 2.8 ×
10229 operations.
Abstract limits in computer science
In the field of theoretical computer science the computability and complexity
of computational problems are often sought-after. Computability theory
describes the degree to which problems are computable, whereas
complexity theory describes the asymptotic degree of resource
consumption. Computational problems are therefore confined into complexity classes. The arithmetical hierarchy and polynomial hierarchy classify the degree to which problems are respectively computable and computable in polynomial time. For instance, the level
of the arithmetical hierarchy classifies computable, partial functions.
Moreover, this hierarchy is strict such that at any other class in the
arithmetic hierarchy classifies strictly uncomputable functions.
Loose and tight limits
Many limits derived in terms of physical constants and abstract models of computation in computer science are loose.
Very few known limits directly obstruct leading-edge technologies, but
many engineering obstacles currently cannot be explained by closed-form
limits.
The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology is a 2005 non-fiction book about artificial intelligence and the future of humanity by inventor and futuristRay Kurzweil.
Kurzweil describes his law of accelerating returns which predicts an exponential increase in technologies like computers, genetics, nanotechnology, robotics and artificial intelligence.
Once the Singularity has been reached, Kurzweil says that machine
intelligence will be infinitely more powerful than all human
intelligence combined. Afterwards he predicts intelligence will radiate
outward from the planet until it saturates the universe. The Singularity
is also the point at which machines' intelligence and humans would
merge.
Content
Exponential growth
Kurzweil characterizes evolution
throughout all time as progressing through six epochs, each one
building on the one before. He says the four epochs which have occurred
so far are Physics and Chemistry, Biology and DNA, Brains, and Technology. Kurzweil predicts the Singularity will coincide with the next epoch, The Merger of Human Technology with Human Intelligence. After the Singularity he says the final epoch will occur, The Universe Wakes Up.
Kurzweil explains that evolutionary progress is exponential because of positive feedback;
the results of one stage are used to create the next stage. Exponential
growth is deceptive, nearly flat at first until it hits what Kurzweil
calls "the knee in the curve" then rises almost vertically.
In fact Kurzweil believes evolutionary progress is super-exponential
because more resources are deployed to the winning process. As an
example of super-exponential growth Kurzweil cites the computer chip
business. The overall budget for the whole industry increases over time,
since the fruits of exponential growth make it an attractive
investment; meanwhile the additional budget fuels more innovation which
makes the industry grow even faster, effectively an example of "double"
exponential growth.
Kurzweil says evolutionary progress looks smooth, but that really
it is divided into paradigms, specific methods of solving problems.
Each paradigm starts with slow growth, builds to rapid growth, and then
levels off. As one paradigm levels off, pressure builds to find or
develop a new paradigm. So what looks like a single smooth curve is
really series of smaller S curves. For example, Kurzweil notes that when vacuum tubes stopped getting faster, cheaper transistors became popular and continued the overall exponential growth.
An updated version of Moore's Law over 120 Years (based on Kurzweil'sgraph). The 7 most recent data points are all NVIDIA GPUs.
A fundamental pillar of Kurzweil's argument is that to get to the
Singularity, computational capacity is as much of a bottleneck as other
things like quality of algorithms and understanding of the human brain. Moore's Law
predicts the capacity of integrated circuits grows exponentially, but
not indefinitely. Kurzweil feels the increase in the capacity of
integrated circuits will probably slow by the year 2020.
He feels confident that a new paradigm will debut at that point to
carry on the exponential growth predicted by his law of accelerating
returns. Kurzweil describes four paradigms of computing that came before
integrated circuits: electromechanical, relay, vacuum tube, and
transistors.
What technology will follow integrated circuits, to serve as the sixth
paradigm, is unknown, but Kurzweil believes nanotubes are the most
likely alternative among a number of possibilities:
Since Kurzweil believes computational capacity
will continue to grow exponentially long after Moore's Law ends it will
eventually rival the raw computing power of the human brain. Kurzweil
looks at several different estimates of how much computational capacity
is in the brain and settles on 1016 calculations per second and 1013 bits of memory. He writes that $1,000 will buy computer power equal to a single brain "by around 2020"
while by 2045, the onset of the Singularity, he says the same amount of
money will buy one billion times more power than all human brains
combined today.
Kurzweil admits the exponential trend in increased computing power will
hit a limit eventually, but he calculates that limit to be trillions of
times beyond what is necessary for the Singularity.
The brain
Exponential Growth of Computing
Kurzweil notes that computational capacity alone will not create
artificial intelligence. He asserts that the best way to build machine
intelligence is to first understand human intelligence. The first step
is to image the brain, to peer inside it. Kurzweil claims imaging
technologies such as PET and fMRI are increasing exponentially in resolution
while he predicts even greater detail will be obtained during the 2020s
when it becomes possible to scan the brain from the inside using
nanobots.
Once the physical structure and connectivity information are known,
Kurzweil says researchers will have to produce functional models of
sub-cellular components and synapses all the way up to whole brain
regions.
The human brain is "a complex hierarchy of complex systems, but it does
not represent a level of complexity beyond what we are already capable
of handling".
Beyond reverse engineering the brain in order to understand and
emulate it, Kurzweil introduces the idea of "uploading" a specific brain
with every mental process intact, to be instantiated on a "suitably
powerful computational substrate". He writes that general modeling
requires 1016 calculations per second and 1013 bits of memory, but then explains uploading requires additional detail, perhaps as many as 1019 cps and 1018 bits. Kurzweil says the technology to do this will be available by 2040.
Rather than an instantaneous scan and conversion to digital form,
Kurzweil feels humans will most likely experience gradual conversion as
portions of their brain are augmented with neural implants, increasing
their proportion of non-biological intelligence slowly over time.
Kurzweil believes there is "no objective test that can conclusively determine" the presence of consciousness.
Therefore, he says nonbiological intelligences will claim to have
consciousness and "the full range of emotional and spiritual experiences
that humans claim to have"; he feels such claims will generally be accepted.
Genetics, nanotechnology and robotics (AI)
Kurzweil says revolutions in genetics, nanotechnology and robotics will usher in the beginning of the Singularity.
Kurzweil feels with sufficient genetic technology it should be possible
to maintain the body indefinitely, reversing aging while curing cancer, heart disease and other illnesses.
Much of this will be possible thanks to nanotechnology, the second
revolution, which entails the molecule by molecule construction of tools
which themselves can "rebuild the physical world".
Finally, the revolution in robotics will really be the development of
strong AI, defined as machines which have human-level intelligence or
greater. This development will be the most important of the century, "comparable in importance to the development of biology itself".
Kurzweil concedes that every technology carries with it the risk
of misuse or abuse, from viruses and nanobots to out-of-control AI
machines. He believes the only countermeasure is to invest in defensive
technologies, for example by allowing new genetics and medical
treatments, monitoring for dangerous pathogens, and creating limited
moratoriums on certain technologies. As for artificial intelligence
Kurzweil feels the best defense is to increase the "values of liberty,
tolerance, and respect for knowledge and diversity" in society, because
"the nonbiological intelligence will be embedded in our society and will
reflect our values".
The Singularity
Countdown to the Singularity
Kurzweil touches on the history of the Singularity concept, tracing it back to John von Neumann in the 1950s and I. J. Good
in the 1960s. He compares his Singularity to that of a mathematical or
astrophysical singularity. While his ideas of a Singularity is not
actually infinite, he says it looks that way from any limited
perspective.
During the Singularity, Kurzweil predicts that "human life will be irreversibly transformed" and that humans will transcend the "limitations of our biological bodies and brain".
He looks beyond the Singularity to say that "the intelligence that will
emerge will continue to represent the human civilization." Further, he
feels that "future machines will be human, even if they are not
biological".
Kurzweil claims once nonbiological intelligence predominates the nature of human life will be radically altered: there will be radical changes in how humans learn, work, play, and wage war.
Kurzweil envisions nanobots which allow people to eat whatever they
want while remaining thin and fit, provide copious energy, fight off
infections or cancer, replace organs and augment their brains.
Eventually people's bodies will contain so much augmentation they'll be
able to alter their "physical manifestation at will".
Kurzweil says the law of accelerating returns suggests that once a
civilization develops primitive mechanical technologies, it is only a
few centuries before they achieve everything outlined in the book, at
which point it will start expanding outward, saturating the universe
with intelligence. Since people have found no evidence of other
civilizations, Kurzweil believes humans are likely alone in the
universe. Thus Kurzweil concludes it is humanity's destiny to do the
saturating, enlisting all matter and energy in the process.
As for individual identities during these radical changes,
Kurzweil suggests people think of themselves as an evolving pattern
rather than a specific collection of molecules. Kurzweil says evolution
moves towards "greater complexity, greater elegance, greater knowledge,
greater intelligence, greater beauty, greater creativity, and greater
levels of subtle attributes such as love".
He says that these attributes, in the limit, are generally used to
describe God. That means, he continues, that evolution is moving towards
a conception of God and that the transition away from biological roots
is in fact a spiritual undertaking.
Predictions
Kurzweil does not include an actual written timeline of the past and future, as he did in The Age of Intelligent Machines and The Age of Spiritual Machines,
however he still makes many specific predictions. Kurzweil writes that
by 2010 a supercomputer will have the computational capacity to emulate
human intelligence and "by around 2020" this same capacity will be available "for one thousand dollars".
After that milestone he expects human brain scanning to contribute to
an effective model of human intelligence "by the mid-2020s". These two elements will culminate in computers that can pass the Turing test by 2029.
By the early 2030s the amount of non-biological computation will exceed
the "capacity of all living biological human intelligence".
Finally the exponential growth in computing capacity will lead to the
Singularity. Kurzweil spells out the date very clearly: "I set the date
for the Singularity—representing a profound and disruptive
transformation in human capability—as 2045".
Reception
Analysis
A
common criticism of the book relates to the "exponential growth
fallacy". As an example, in 1969, man landed on the moon. Extrapolating
exponential growth from there one would expect huge lunar bases and
manned missions to distant planets. Instead, exploration stalled or even
regressed after that. Paul Davies writes "the key point about exponential growth is that it never lasts"
often due to resource constraints. On the other hand, it has been shown
that the global acceleration until recently followed a hyperbolic
rather than exponential pattern.
Theodore Modis says "nothing in nature follows a pure exponential" and suggests the logistic function
is a better fit for "a real growth process". The logistic function
looks like an exponential at first but then tapers off and flattens
completely. For example, world population and the United States's oil
production both appeared to be rising exponentially, but both have
leveled off because they were logistic. Kurzweil says "the knee in the
curve" is the time when the exponential trend is going to explode, while
Modis claims if the process is logistic when you hit the "knee" the
quantity you are measuring is only going to increase by a factor of 100
more.
While some critics complain that the law of accelerating returns is not a law of nature
others question the religious motivations or implications of Kurzweil's
Singularity. The buildup towards the Singularity is compared with
Judeo-Christian end-of-time scenarios. Beam calls it "a Buck Rogers vision of the hypothetical Christian Rapture". John Gray says "the Singularity echoes apocalyptic myths in which history is about to be interrupted by a world-transforming event".
The radical nature of Kurzweil's predictions is often discussed. Anthony Doerr
says that before you "dismiss it as techno-zeal" consider that "every
day the line between what is human and what is not quite human blurs a
bit more". He lists technology of the day, in 2006, like computers that
land supersonic airplanes or in vitro fertility treatments and asks whether brain implants that access the internet or robots in our blood really are that unbelievable.
In regard to reverse engineering the brain, neuroscientist David J. Linden
writes that "Kurzweil is conflating biological data collection with
biological insight". He feels that data collection might be growing
exponentially, but insight is increasing only linearly. For example, the
speed and cost of sequencing genomes is also improving exponentially,
but our understanding of genetics is growing very slowly. As for
nanobots Linden believes the spaces available in the brain for
navigation are simply too small. He acknowledges that someday we will
fully understand the brain, just not on Kurzweil's timetable.
Reviews
Paul Davies wrote in Nature that The Singularity is Near
is a "breathless romp across the outer reaches of technological
possibility" while warning that the "exhilarating speculation is great
fun to read, but needs to be taken with a huge dose of salt."
Anthony Doerr in The Boston Globe
wrote "Kurzweil's book is surprisingly elaborate, smart, and
persuasive. He writes clean methodical sentences, includes humorous
dialogues with characters in the future and past, and uses graphs that
are almost always accessible." while his colleague Alex Beam points out that "Singularitarians have been greeted with hooting skepticism". Janet Maslin in The New York Times wrote "The Singularity is Near
is startling in scope and bravado", but says "much of his thinking
tends to be pie in the sky". She observes that he's more focused on
optimistic outcomes rather than the risks.
Film adaptations
In 2006, Barry Ptolemy and his production company Ptolemaic Productions licensed the rights to The Singularity Is Near from Kurzweil. Inspired by the book, Ptolemy directed and produced the film Transcendent Man, which went on to bring more attention to the book.
Transhumanism is a philosophical movement, the proponents of
which
advocate and predict the enhancement of the human condition by
developing and making widely available sophisticated technologies able
to greatly enhance longevity, mood and cognitive abilities.
Transhumanist thinkers study the potential benefits and dangers of emerging technologies that could overcome fundamental human limitations as well as the ethics of using such technologies.
Some transhumanists believe that human beings may eventually be able to
transform themselves into beings with abilities so greatly expanded
from the current condition as to merit the label of posthuman beings.
Another topic of transhumanist research is how to protect humanity against existential risks, such as nuclear war or asteroid collision.
The contemporary meaning of the term "transhumanism" was foreshadowed by one of the first professors of futurology, a man who changed his name to FM-2030. In the 1960s, he taught "new concepts of the human" at The New School when he began to identify people who adopt technologies, lifestyles and worldviews "transitional" to posthumanity as "transhuman". The assertion would lay the intellectual groundwork for the British philosopher Max More to begin articulating the principles of transhumanism as a futurist philosophy in 1990, and organizing in California a school of thought that has since grown into the worldwide transhumanist movement.
Influenced by seminal works of science fiction,
the transhumanist vision of a transformed future humanity has attracted
many supporters and detractors from a wide range of perspectives,
including philosophy and religion.
In 2017, Penn State University Press, in cooperation with philosopher Stefan Lorenz Sorgner and sociologist James Hughes, established the Journal of Posthuman Studies as the first academic journal explicitly dedicated to the posthuman, with the goal of clarifying the notions of posthumanism and transhumanism, as well as comparing and contrasting both.
One of the early precursors to transhumanist ideas is Discourse on Method (1637) by René Descartes. In the Discourse, Descartes envisioned a new kind of medicine that could grant both physical immortality and stronger minds.
There is debate about whether the philosophy of Friedrich Nietzsche can be considered an influence on transhumanism, despite its exaltation of the "Übermensch" (overman or superman), due to its emphasis on self-actualization rather than technological transformation. The transhumanist philosophies of Max More and Stefan Lorenz Sorgner have been influenced strongly by Nietzschean thinking. By way of contrast, The Transhumanist Declaration "...advocates the well-being of all sentience (whether in artificial intellects, humans, posthumans, or non-human animals)".
The late 19th to early 20th century movement known as Russian cosmism
also incorporated some ideas which later developed into the core of the
transhumanist movement in particular by early protagonist Russian
philosopher N. F. Fyodorov.
Early transhumanist thinking
Julian Huxley, the biologist who popularised the term transhumanism in an influential 1957 essay.
Fundamental ideas of transhumanism were first advanced in 1923 by the British geneticist J. B. S. Haldane in his essay Daedalus: Science and the Future,
which predicted that great benefits would come from the application of
advanced sciences to human biology—and that every such advance would
first appear to someone as blasphemy or perversion, "indecent and
unnatural". In particular, he was interested in the development of the science of eugenics, ectogenesis
(creating and sustaining life in an artificial environment), and the
application of genetics to improve human characteristics, such as health
and intelligence.
His article inspired academic and popular interest. J. D. Bernal, a crystallographer at Cambridge, wrote The World, the Flesh and the Devil in 1929, in which he speculated on the prospects of space colonization and radical changes to human bodies and intelligence through bionic implants and cognitive enhancement. These ideas have been common transhumanist themes ever since.
The biologist Julian Huxley
is generally regarded as the founder of transhumanism after using the
term for the title of an influential 1957 article. The term itself,
however, derives from an earlier 1940 paper by the Canadian philosopher
W. D. Lighthall. Huxley describes transhumanism in these terms:
Up till now human life has
generally been, as Hobbes described it, 'nasty, brutish and short'; the
great majority of human beings (if they have not already died young)
have been afflicted with misery… we can justifiably hold the belief that
these lands of possibility exist, and that the present limitations and
miserable frustrations of our existence could be in large measure
surmounted… The human species can, if it wishes, transcend itself—not
just sporadically, an individual here in one way, an individual there in
another way, but in its entirety, as humanity.
Huxley's definition differs, albeit not substantially, from the one
commonly in use since the 1980s. The ideas raised by these thinkers were
explored in the science fiction of the 1960s, notably in Arthur C. Clarke's 2001: A Space Odyssey, in which an alien artifact grants transcendent power to its wielder.
Japanese Metabolist architects produced a manifesto in 1960 which outlined goals to "encourage active metabolic development of our society" through design and technology. In the Material and Man section of the manifesto, Noboru Kawazoe suggests that:
After
several decades, with the rapid progress of communication technology,
every one will have a "brain wave receiver" in his ear, which conveys
directly and exactly what other people think about him and vice versa.
What I think will be known by all the people. There is no more
individual consciousness, only the will of mankind as a whole.
Artificial intelligence and the technological singularity
Let an ultraintelligent machine be
defined as a machine that can far surpass all the intellectual
activities of any man however clever. Since the design of machines is
one of these intellectual activities, an ultraintelligent machine could
design even better machines; there would then unquestionably be an
'intelligence explosion,' and the intelligence of man would be left far
behind. Thus the first ultraintelligent machine is the last invention
that man need ever make.
Computer scientistMarvin Minsky wrote on relationships between human and artificial intelligence beginning in the 1960s. Over the succeeding decades, this field continued to generate influential thinkers such as Hans Moravec and Raymond Kurzweil, who oscillated between the technical arena and futuristic speculations in the transhumanist vein. The coalescence of an identifiable transhumanist movement began in the last decades of the 20th century. In 1966, FM-2030 (formerly F. M. Esfandiary), a futurist who taught "new concepts of the human" at The New School, in New York City, began to identify people who adopt technologies, lifestyles and world views transitional to posthumanity as "transhuman". In 1972, Robert Ettinger, whose 1964 Prospect of Immortality founded the cryonics movement, contributed to the conceptualization of "transhumanity" with his 1972 Man into Superman. FM-2030 published the Upwingers Manifesto in 1973.
Growth of transhumanism
The first self-described transhumanists met formally in the early 1980s at the University of California, Los Angeles, which became the main center of transhumanist thought. Here, FM-2030 lectured on his "Third Way" futurist ideology. At the EZTV Media venue, frequented by transhumanists and other futurists, Natasha Vita-More presented Breaking Away,
her 1980 experimental film with the theme of humans breaking away from
their biological limitations and the Earth's gravity as they head into
space. FM-2030 and Vita-More soon began holding gatherings for transhumanists in Los Angeles,
which included students from FM-2030's courses and audiences from
Vita-More's artistic productions. In 1982, Vita-More authored the Transhumanist Arts Statement and, six years later, produced the cable TV show TransCentury Update on transhumanity, a program which reached over 100,000 viewers.
In 1986, Eric Drexler published Engines of Creation: The Coming Era of Nanotechnology, which discussed the prospects for nanotechnology and molecular assemblers, and founded the Foresight Institute. As the first non-profit organization to research, advocate for, and perform cryonics, the Southern California offices of the Alcor Life Extension Foundation became a center for futurists. In 1988, the first issue of Extropy Magazine was published by Max More
and Tom Morrow. In 1990, More, a strategic philosopher, created his own
particular transhumanist doctrine, which took the form of the Principles of Extropy, and laid the foundation of modern transhumanism by giving it a new definition:
Transhumanism is a class of
philosophies that seek to guide us towards a posthuman condition.
Transhumanism shares many elements of humanism, including a respect for
reason and science, a commitment to progress, and a valuing of human (or
transhuman) existence in this life. [...] Transhumanism differs from
humanism in recognizing and anticipating the radical alterations in the
nature and possibilities of our lives resulting from various sciences
and technologies [...].
In 1992, More and Morrow founded the Extropy Institute, a catalyst for networking futurists and brainstorming new memeplexes
by organizing a series of conferences and, more importantly, providing a
mailing list, which exposed many to transhumanist views for the first
time during the rise of cyberculture and the cyberdelic counterculture. In 1998, philosophers Nick Bostrom and David Pearce founded the World Transhumanist Association
(WTA), an international non-governmental organization working toward
the recognition of transhumanism as a legitimate subject of scientific inquiry and public policy. In 2002, the WTA modified and adopted The Transhumanist Declaration.The Transhumanist FAQ, prepared by the WTA (later Humanity+), gave two formal definitions for transhumanism:
The intellectual and cultural movement that affirms the
possibility and desirability of fundamentally improving the human
condition through applied reason, especially by developing and making
widely available technologies to eliminate aging and to greatly enhance
human intellectual, physical, and psychological capacities.
The study of the ramifications, promises, and potential dangers of
technologies that will enable us to overcome fundamental human
limitations, and the related study of the ethical matters involved in
developing and using such technologies.
In possible contrast with other transhumanist organizations, WTA officials considered that social forces could undermine their futurist visions and needed to be addressed. A particular concern is the equal access to human enhancement technologies across classes and borders. In 2006, a political struggle within the transhumanist movement between the libertarian right and the liberal left resulted in a more centre-leftward positioning of the WTA under its former executive director James Hughes.
In 2006, the board of directors of the Extropy Institute ceased
operations of the organization, stating that its mission was
"essentially completed".
This left the World Transhumanist Association as the leading
international transhumanist organization. In 2008, as part of a
rebranding effort, the WTA changed its name to "Humanity+". In 2012, the transhumanist Longevity Party
had been initiated as an international union of people who promote the
development of scientific and technological means to significant life
extension, that for now has more than 30 national organisations
throughout the world.
The Mormon Transhumanist Association was founded in 2006. By 2012, it consisted of hundreds of members.
The first transhumanist elected member of a parliament has been Giuseppe Vatinno, in Italy.
Theory
It is a matter of debate whether transhumanism is a branch of posthumanism and how this philosophical movement should be conceptualised with regard to transhumanism. The latter is often referred to as a variant or activist form of posthumanism by its conservative, Christian and progressive critics.
A common feature of transhumanism and philosophical posthumanism
is the future vision of a new intelligent species, into which humanity
will evolve and eventually will supplement or supersede it.
Transhumanism stresses the evolutionary perspective, including sometimes
the creation of a highly intelligent animal species by way of cognitive
enhancement (i.e. biological uplift), but clings to a "posthuman future" as the final goal of participant evolution.
Nevertheless, the idea of creating intelligent artificial beings (proposed, for example, by roboticist Hans Moravec) has influenced transhumanism. Moravec's ideas and transhumanism have also been characterised as a "complacent" or "apocalyptic" variant of posthumanism and contrasted with "cultural posthumanism" in humanities and the arts.
While such a "cultural posthumanism" would offer resources for
rethinking the relationships between humans and increasingly
sophisticated machines, transhumanism and similar posthumanisms are, in
this view, not abandoning obsolete concepts of the "autonomous liberal subject", but are expanding its "prerogatives" into the realm of the posthuman. Transhumanist self-characterisations as a continuation of humanism and Enlightenment thinking correspond with this view.
Some secular humanists conceive transhumanism as an offspring of the humanist freethought
movement and argue that transhumanists differ from the humanist
mainstream by having a specific focus on technological approaches to
resolving human concerns (i.e. technocentrism) and on the issue of mortality.
However, other progressives have argued that posthumanism, whether it
be its philosophical or activist forms, amounts to a shift away from
concerns about social justice, from the reform of human institutions and from other Enlightenment preoccupations, toward narcissistic longings for a transcendence of the human body in quest of more exquisite ways of being.
As an alternative, humanist philosopher Dwight Gilbert Jones has
proposed a renewed Renaissance humanism through DNA and genome
repositories, with each individual genotype (DNA) being instantiated as successive phenotypes (bodies or lives via cloning, Church of Man,
1978). In his view, native molecular DNA "continuity" is required for
retaining the "self" and no amount of computing power or memory
aggregation can replace the essential "stink" of our true genetic
identity, which he terms "genity". Instead, DNA/genome stewardship by an
institution analogous to the Jesuits' 400 year vigil is a suggested
model for enabling humanism to become our species' common credo, a
project he proposed in his speculative novel The Humanist – 1000 Summers (2011), wherein humanity dedicates these coming centuries to harmonizing our planet and peoples.
The philosophy of transhumanism is closely related to technoself studies,
an interdisciplinary domain of scholarly research dealing with all
aspects of human identity in a technological society and focusing on the
changing nature of relationships between humans and technology.
Aims
You
awake one morning to find your brain has another lobe functioning.
Invisible, this auxiliary lobe answers your questions with information
beyond the realm of your own memory, suggests plausible courses of
action, and asks questions that help bring out relevant facts. You
quickly come to rely on the new lobe so much that you stop wondering how
it works. You just use it. This is the dream of artificial
intelligence.
Ray
Kurzweil believes that a countdown to when "human life will be
irreversibly transformed" can be made through plotting major world
events on a graph.
While many transhumanist theorists and advocates seek to apply reason, science and technology for the purposes of reducing poverty, disease, disability and malnutrition around the globe,
transhumanism is distinctive in its particular focus on the
applications of technologies to the improvement of human bodies at the
individual level. Many transhumanists actively assess the potential for
future technologies and innovative social systems to improve the quality
of all life,
while seeking to make the material reality of the human condition
fulfill the promise of legal and political equality by eliminating congenital mental and physical barriers.
Transhumanist philosophers argue that there not only exists a perfectionist ethical imperative
for humans to strive for progress and improvement of the human
condition, but that it is possible and desirable for humanity to enter a
transhuman phase of existence in which humans enhance themselves beyond what is naturally human. In such a phase, natural evolution would be replaced with deliberate participatory or directed evolution.
Some theorists such as Ray Kurzweil think that the pace of technological innovation is accelerating and that the next 50 years may yield not only radical technological advances, but possibly a technological singularity, which may fundamentally change the nature of human beings.
Transhumanists who foresee this massive technological change generally
maintain that it is desirable. However, some are also concerned with the
possible dangers of extremely rapid technological change and propose
options for ensuring that advanced technology is used responsibly. For
example, Bostrom has written extensively on existential risks to humanity's future welfare, including ones that could be created by emerging technologies.
In contrast, some proponents of transhumanism view it as essential to
humanity's survival. For instance, Stephen Hawking points out that the
"external transmission" phase of human evolution, where knowledge production and knowledge management is more important than transmission of information via evolution, may be the point at which human civilization becomes unstable and self-destructs, one of Hawking's explanations for the Fermi paradox. To counter this, Hawking emphasizes either self-design of the human genome or mechanical enhancement (e.g., brain-computer interface) to enhance human intelligence and reduce aggression,
without which he implies human civilization may be too stupid
collectively to survive an increasingly unstable system, resulting in societal collapse.
While many people believe that all transhumanists are striving
for immortality, it is not necessarily true. Hank Pellissier, managing
director of the Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies
(2011–2012), surveyed transhumanists. He found that, of the 818
respondents, 23.8% did not want immortality. Some of the reasons argued were boredom, Earth's overpopulation and the desire "to go to an afterlife".
Empathic fallibility and conversational consent
Certain transhumanist philosophers hold that since all assumptions about what others experience are fallible,
and that therefore all attempts to help or protect beings that are not
capable of correcting what others assume about them no matter how
well-intentioned are in danger of actually hurting them, all sentient beings deserve to be sapient. These thinkers argue that the ability to discuss in a falsification-based way constitutes a threshold that is not arbitrary
at which it becomes possible for an individual to speak for themselves
in a way that is not dependent on exterior assumptions. They also argue
that all beings capable of experiencing something deserve to be elevated
to this threshold if they are not at it, typically stating that the
underlying change that leads to the threshold is an increase in the
preciseness of the brain's
ability to discriminate. This includes increasing the neuron count and
connectivity in animals as well as accelerating the development of
connectivity in order to shorten or ideally skip non-sapient childhood
incapable of independently deciding for oneself. Transhumanists of this
description stress that the genetic engineering that they advocate is
general insertion into both the somatic cells of living beings and in
germ cells, and not purging of individuals without the modifications,
deeming the latter not only unethical but also unnecessary due to the
possibilities of efficient genetic engineering.
Ethics
Transhumanists engage in interdisciplinary approaches to understand and evaluate possibilities for overcoming biological limitations by drawing on futurology and various fields of ethics. Unlike many philosophers, social critics and activists who place a moral value on preservation of natural systems, transhumanists see the very concept of the specifically natural as problematically nebulous at best and an obstacle to progress at worst.
In keeping with this, many prominent transhumanist advocates, such as
Dan Agin, refer to transhumanism's critics, on the political right and
left jointly, as "bioconservatives" or "bioluddites", the latter term alluding to the 19th century anti-industrialisation social movement that opposed the replacement of human manual labourers by machines.
A belief of counter-transhumanism is that transhumanism can cause
unfair human enhancement in many areas of life, but specifically on the
social plane. This can be compared to steroid use, where athletes who
use steroids in sports have an advantage over those who do not. The same
scenario happens when people have certain neural implants that give
them an advantage in the work place and in educational aspects.
Additionally, there are many, according to M.J. McNamee and S.D.
Edwards, who fear that the improvements afforded by a specific,
privileged section of society will lead to a division of the human
species into two different and distinct species.
The idea of two human species, one being at a great physical and
economic advantage in comparison with the other, is a troublesome one at
best. One may be incapable of breeding with the other, and may by
consequence of lower physical health and ability, be considered of a
lower moral standing than the other.
Currents
There
is a variety of opinions within transhumanist thought. Many of the
leading transhumanist thinkers hold views that are under constant
revision and development. Some distinctive currents of transhumanism are identified and listed here in alphabetical order:
Extropianism, an early school of transhumanist thought characterized by a set of principles advocating a proactive approach to human evolution.
Immortalism, a moral ideology based upon the belief that radical life extension and technological immortality is possible and desirable, and advocating research and development to ensure its realization.
Postpoliticism, a transhumanist political proposal that aims to create a "postdemocratic state" based on reason and free access of enhancement technologies to people.
Singularitarianism, a moral ideology based upon the belief that a technological singularity is possible, and advocating deliberate action to effect it and ensure its safety.
Technogaianism,
an ecological ideology based upon the belief that emerging technologies
can help restore Earth's environment and that developing safe, clean, alternative technology should therefore be an important goal of environmentalists.
Equalism,
a socioeconomic theory based upon the idea that emerging technologies
will put an end to social stratification through even distribution of
resources in the technological singularity era.
Spirituality
Although many transhumanists are atheists, agnostics, and/or secular humanists, some have religious or spiritual views. Despite the prevailing secular attitude, some transhumanists pursue hopes traditionally espoused by religions, such as immortality, while several controversial new religious movements
from the late 20th century have explicitly embraced transhumanist goals
of transforming the human condition by applying technology to the
alteration of the mind and body, such as Raëlism.
However, most thinkers associated with the transhumanist movement focus
on the practical goals of using technology to help achieve longer and
healthier lives, while speculating that future understanding of neurotheology and the application of neurotechnology will enable humans to gain greater control of altered states of consciousness, which were commonly interpreted as spiritual experiences, and thus achieve more profound self-knowledge. Transhumanist Buddhists have sought to explore areas of agreement between various types of Buddhism and Buddhist-derived meditation and mind-expanding neurotechnologies. However, they have been criticised for appropriating mindfulness as a tool for transcending humanness.
Some transhumanists believe in the compatibility between the
human mind and computer hardware, with the theoretical implication that
human consciousness may someday be transferred to alternative media (a speculative technique commonly known as mind uploading). One extreme formulation of this idea, which some transhumanists are interested in, is the proposal of the Omega Point by Christian cosmologist Frank Tipler. Drawing upon ideas in digitalism, Tipler has advanced the notion that the collapse of the Universe billions of years hence could create the conditions for the perpetuation of humanity in a simulated reality within a megacomputer and thus achieve a form of "posthuman godhood". Before Tipler, the term Omega Point was used by Pierre Teilhard de Chardin, a paleontologist and Jesuit theologian who saw an evolutionary telos in the development of an encompassing noosphere, a global consciousness.
Viewed from the perspective of some Christian thinkers, the idea of mind uploading is asserted to represent a denigration of the human body, characteristic of gnostic manichaean belief. Transhumanism and its presumed intellectual progenitors have also been described as neo-gnostic by non-Christian and secular commentators.
The first dialogue between transhumanism and faith was a one-day conference held at the University of Toronto in 2004. Religious critics alone faulted the philosophy of transhumanism as offering no eternal truths nor a relationship with the divine. They commented that a philosophy bereft of these beliefs leaves humanity adrift in a foggy sea of postmoderncynicism and anomie.
Transhumanists responded that such criticisms reflect a failure to look
at the actual content of the transhumanist philosophy, which, far from
being cynical, is rooted in optimistic, idealistic attitudes that trace back to the Enlightenment. Following this dialogue, William Sims Bainbridge, a sociologist of religion, conducted a pilot study, published in the Journal of Evolution and Technology,
suggesting that religious attitudes were negatively correlated with
acceptance of transhumanist ideas and indicating that individuals with
highly religious worldviews tended to perceive transhumanism as being a
direct, competitive (though ultimately futile) affront to their
spiritual beliefs.
Since 2006, the Mormon Transhumanist Association sponsors conferences and lectures on the intersection of technology and religion. The Christian Transhumanist Association was established in 2014.
Since 2009, the American Academy of Religion holds a "Transhumanism and Religion" consultation during its annual meeting, where scholars in the field of religious studies
seek to identify and critically evaluate any implicit religious beliefs
that might underlie key transhumanist claims and assumptions; consider
how transhumanism challenges religious traditions to develop their own
ideas of the human future, in particular the prospect of human
transformation, whether by technological or other means; and provide
critical and constructive assessments of an envisioned future that place
greater confidence in nanotechnology, robotics and information
technology to achieve virtual immortality and create a superior
posthuman species.
The physicist and transhumanist thinker Giulio Prisco
states that "cosmist religions based on science, might be our best
protection from reckless pursuit of superintelligence and other risky
technologies." Prisco also recognizes the importance of spiritual ideas, such as the ones of Nikolai Fyodorovich Fyodorov, to the origins of the transhumanism movement.
Practice
While some transhumanists
take an abstract and theoretical approach to the perceived benefits of
emerging technologies, others have offered specific proposals for
modifications to the human body, including heritable ones.
Transhumanists are often concerned with methods of enhancing the human nervous system. Though some, such as Kevin Warwick, propose modification of the peripheral nervous system, the brain is considered the common denominator of personhood and is thus a primary focus of transhumanist ambitions.
In fact, Warwick has gone a lot further than merely making a
proposal. In 2002 he had a 100 electrode array surgically implanted into
the median nerves of his left arm in order to link his nervous system
directly with a computer and thus to also connect with the internet. As a
consequence, he carried out a series of experiments. He was able to
directly control a robot hand using his neural signals and to feel the
force applied by the hand through feedback from the fingertips. He also
experienced a form of ultrasonic sensory input and conducted the first
purely electronic communication between his own nervous system and that
of his wife who also had electrodes implanted.
Neil Harbisson's antenna implant allows him to extend his senses beyond human perception.
As proponents of self-improvement and body modification,
transhumanists tend to use existing technologies and techniques that
supposedly improve cognitive and physical performance, while engaging in
routines and lifestyles designed to improve health and longevity. Depending on their age, some
transhumanists express concern that they will not live to reap the
benefits of future technologies. However, many have a great interest in life extension strategies and in funding research in cryonics in order to make the latter a viable option of last resort, rather than remaining an unproven method.
Regional and global transhumanist networks and communities with a range
of objectives exist to provide support and forums for discussion and
collaborative projects.
While most transhumanist theory focuses on future technologies
and the changes they may bring, many today are already involved in the
practice on a very basic level. It is not uncommon for many to receive
cosmetic changes to their physical form via cosmetic surgery, even if it
is not required for health reasons. Human growth hormones attempt to
alter the natural development of shorter children or those who have been
born with a physical deficiency. Doctors prescribe medicines such as
Ritalin and Adderall to improve cognitive focus, and many people take
"lifestyle" drugs such as Viagra, Propecia, and Botox to restore aspects
of youthfulness that have been lost in maturity.
Other transhumanists, such as cyborg artist Neil Harbisson,
use technologies and techniques to improve their senses and perception
of reality. Harbisson's antenna, which is permanently implanted in his
skull, allows him to sense colours beyond human perception such as
infrareds and ultraviolets.
Some reports on the converging technologies and NBIC concepts have criticised their transhumanist orientation and alleged science fictional character. At the same time, research on brain and body alteration technologies has been accelerated under the sponsorship of the U.S. Department of Defense, which is interested in the battlefield advantages they would provide to the supersoldiers of the United States and its allies.
There has already been a brain research program to "extend the ability
to manage information", while military scientists are now looking at
stretching the human capacity for combat to a maximum 168 hours without
sleep.
Neuroscientist Anders Sandberg
has been practicing on the method of scanning ultra-thin sections of
the brain. This method is being used to help better understand the
architecture of the brain. As of now, this method is currently being
used on mice. This is the first step towards hypothetically uploading
contents of the human brain, including memories and emotions, onto a
computer.
Debate
The very notion and prospect of human enhancement and related issues arouse public controversy.
Criticisms of transhumanism and its proposals take two main forms:
those objecting to the likelihood of transhumanist goals being achieved
(practical criticisms) and those objecting to the moral principles or
worldview sustaining transhumanist proposals or underlying transhumanism
itself (ethical criticisms). Critics and opponents often see
transhumanists' goals as posing threats to human values.
Some of the most widely known critiques of the transhumanist
program are novels and fictional films. These works of art, despite
presenting imagined worlds rather than philosophical analyses, are used
as touchstones for some of the more formal arguments.
Various arguments have been made to the effect that a society that
adopts human enhancement technologies may come to resemble the dystopia depicted in the 1932 novel Brave New World, by Aldous Huxley.
On another front, some authors consider that humanity is already
transhuman, because medical advances in recent centuries have
significantly altered our species. However, it is not in a conscious and
therefore transhumanistic way.
From such perspective, transhumanism is perpetually aspirational: as
new technologies become mainstream, the adoption of new yet-unadopted
technologies becomes a new shifting goal.
Feasibility
In
a 1992 book, sociologist Max Dublin pointed to many past failed
predictions of technological progress and argued that modern futurist
predictions would prove similarly inaccurate. He also objected to what
he saw as scientism, fanaticism and nihilism by a few in advancing transhumanist causes. Dublin also said that historical parallels existed between Millenarian religions and Communist doctrines.
Although generally sympathetic to transhumanism, public health professor Gregory Stock is skeptical of the technical feasibility and mass appeal of the cyborgization of humanity predicted by Raymond Kurzweil, Hans Moravec and Kevin Warwick.
He said that, throughout the 21st century, many humans would find
themselves deeply integrated into systems of machines, but would remain
biological. Primary changes to their own form and character would arise
not from cyberware, but from the direct manipulation of their genetics, metabolism and biochemistry.
In her 1992 book Science as Salvation, philosopher Mary Midgley traces the notion of achieving immortality by transcendence of the material human body (echoed in the transhumanist tenet of mind uploading) to a group of male scientific thinkers of the early 20th century, including J. B. S. Haldane and members of his circle. She characterizes these ideas as "quasi-scientific dreams and prophesies" involving visions of escape from the body coupled with "self-indulgent, uncontrolled power-fantasies". Her argument focuses on what she perceives as the pseudoscientific speculations and irrational, fear-of-death-driven fantasies of these thinkers, their disregard for laymen and the remoteness of their eschatological visions.
Another critique is aimed mainly at "algeny" (a portmanteau of alchemy and genetics), which Jeremy Rifkin
defined as "the upgrading of existing organisms and the design of
wholly new ones with the intent of 'perfecting' their performance". It emphasizes the issue of biocomplexity and the unpredictability of attempts to guide the development of products of biological evolution. This argument, elaborated in particular by the biologist Stuart Newman, is based on the recognition that cloning and germlinegenetic engineering of animals are error-prone and inherently disruptive of embryonic development.
Accordingly, so it is argued, it would create unacceptable risks to use
such methods on human embryos. Performing experiments, particularly
ones with permanent biological consequences, on developing humans would
thus be in violation of accepted principles governing research on human
subjects (see the 1964 Declaration of Helsinki).
Moreover, because improvements in experimental outcomes in one species
are not automatically transferable to a new species without further
experimentation, it is claimed that there is no ethical route to genetic
manipulation of humans at early developmental stages.
As a practical matter, however, international protocols on human
subject research may not present a legal obstacle to attempts by
transhumanists and others to improve their offspring by germinal choice
technology. According to legal scholar Kirsten Rabe Smolensky, existing
laws would protect parents who choose to enhance their child's genome
from future liability arising from adverse outcomes of the procedure.
Transhumanists and other supporters of human genetic engineering
do not dismiss practical concerns out of hand, insofar as there is a
high degree of uncertainty about the timelines and likely outcomes of
genetic modification experiments in humans. However, bioethicistJames Hughes
suggests that one possible ethical route to the genetic manipulation of
humans at early developmental stages is the building of computer models of the human genome, the proteins it specifies and the tissue engineering he argues that it also codes for. With the exponential progress in bioinformatics,
Hughes believes that a virtual model of genetic expression in the human
body will not be far behind and that it will soon be possible to
accelerate approval of genetic modifications by simulating their effects
on virtual humans. Public health professor Gregory Stock points to artificial chromosomes as an alleged safer alternative to existing genetic engineering techniques.
Thinkers who defend the likelihood of accelerating change
point to a past pattern of exponential increases in humanity's
technological capacities. Kurzweil developed this position in his 2005
book The Singularity Is Near.
Intrinsic immorality
It has been argued that, in transhumanist thought, humans attempt to substitute themselves for God. The 2002 Vatican statement Communion and Stewardship: Human Persons Created in the Image of God, stated that "changing the genetic identity of man as a human person through the production of an infrahuman
being is radically immoral", implying, that "man has full right of
disposal over his own biological nature". The statement also argues that
creation of a superhuman or spiritually superior being is
"unthinkable", since true improvement can come only through religious
experience and "realizing more fully the image of God".
Christian theologians and lay activists of several churches and
denominations have expressed similar objections to transhumanism and
claimed that Christians attain in the afterlife what radical
transhumanism promises, such as indefinite life extension or the abolition of suffering. In this view, transhumanism is just another representative of the long line of utopian movements which seek to create "heaven on earth". On the other hand, religious thinkers allied with transhumanist goals such as the theologians Ronald Cole-Turner and Ted Peters hold that the doctrine of "co-creation" provides an obligation to use genetic engineering to improve human biology.
Other critics target what they claim to be an instrumental conception of the human body in the writings of Marvin Minsky, Hans Moravec and some other transhumanists. Reflecting a strain of feminist criticism of the transhumanist program, philosopher Susan Bordo points to "contemporary obsessions with slenderness, youth and physical perfection",
which she sees as affecting both men and women, but in distinct ways,
as "the logical (if extreme) manifestations of anxieties and fantasies
fostered by our culture." Some critics question other social implications of the movement's focus on body modification.
Political scientist Klaus-Gerd Giesen, in particular, has asserted that
transhumanism's concentration on altering the human body represents the
logical yet tragic consequence of atomized individualism and body commodification within a consumer culture.
Nick Bostrom responds that the desire to regain youth,
specifically, and transcend the natural limitations of the human body,
in general, is pan-cultural and pan-historical, and is therefore not
uniquely tied to the culture of the 20th century. He argues that the
transhumanist program is an attempt to channel that desire into a
scientific project on par with the Human Genome Project and achieve humanity's oldest hope, rather than a puerile fantasy or social trend.
Loss of human identity
In the U.S., the Amish
are a religious group most known for their avoidance of certain modern
technologies. Transhumanists draw a parallel by arguing that in the
near-future there will probably be "humanish", people who choose to
"stay human" by not adopting human enhancement technologies. They
believe their choice must be respected and protected.
In his 2003 book Enough: Staying Human in an Engineered Age, environmental ethicistBill McKibben argued at length against many of the technologies that are postulated or supported by transhumanists, including germinal choice technology, nanomedicine and life extension
strategies. He claims that it would be morally wrong for humans to
tamper with fundamental aspects of themselves (or their children) in an
attempt to overcome universal human limitations, such as vulnerability
to aging, maximum life span
and biological constraints on physical and cognitive ability. Attempts
to "improve" themselves through such manipulation would remove
limitations that provide a necessary context for the experience of
meaningful human choice. He claims that human lives would no longer seem
meaningful
in a world where such limitations could be overcome technologically.
Even the goal of using germinal choice technology for clearly
therapeutic purposes should be relinquished, since it would inevitably
produce temptations to tamper with such things as cognitive capacities.
He argues that it is possible for societies to benefit from renouncing
particular technologies, using as examples Ming China, Tokugawa Japan and the contemporary Amish.
Biopolitical activist Jeremy Rifkin and biologist Stuart Newman accept that biotechnology has the power to make profound changes in organismal
identity. They argue against the genetic engineering of human beings
because they fear the blurring of the boundary between human and artifact. Philosopher Keekok Lee sees such developments as part of an accelerating trend in modernization in which technology has been used to transform the "natural" into the "artefactual". In the extreme, this could lead to the manufacturing and enslavement of "monsters" such as human clones, human-animalchimeras, or bioroids, but even lesser dislocations of humans and non-humans from social and ecological systems are seen as problematic. The film Blade Runner (1982) and the novels The Boys From Brazil (1976) and The Island of Doctor Moreau (1896) depict elements of such scenarios, but Mary Shelley's 1818 novel Frankenstein is most often alluded to by critics who suggest that biotechnologies could create objectified and socially unmoored people as well as subhumans. Such critics propose that strict measures be implemented to prevent what they portray as dehumanizing possibilities from ever happening, usually in the form of an international ban on human genetic engineering.
Science journalistRonald Bailey claims that McKibben's historical examples are flawed and support different conclusions when studied more closely.
For example, few groups are more cautious than the Amish about
embracing new technologies, but, though they shun television and use
horses and buggies, some are welcoming the possibilities of gene therapy since inbreeding has afflicted them with a number of rare genetic diseases.
Bailey and other supporters of technological alteration of human
biology also reject the claim that life would be experienced as
meaningless if some human limitations are overcome with enhancement technologies as extremely subjective.
Writing in Reason magazine, Bailey has accused opponents of research involving the modification of animals as indulging in alarmism when they speculate about the creation of subhuman creatures with human-like intelligence and brains resembling those of Homo sapiens. Bailey insists that the aim of conducting research on animals is simply to produce human health care benefits.
A different response comes from transhumanist personhood theorists
who object to what they characterize as the anthropomorphobia fueling
some criticisms of this research, which science fiction writer Isaac Asimov termed the "Frankenstein complex". For example, Woody Evans argues that, provided they are self-aware, human clones, human-animal chimeras and uplifted animals would all be unique persons deserving of respect, dignity, rights, responsibilities, and citizenship. They conclude that the coming ethical issue is not the creation of so-called monsters, but what they characterize as the "yuck factor" and "human-racism", that would judge and treat these creations as monstrous.
Some critics of libertarian transhumanism have focused on the likely socioeconomic consequences in societies in which divisions between rich and poor are on the rise. Bill McKibben,
for example, suggests that emerging human enhancement technologies
would be disproportionately available to those with greater financial
resources, thereby exacerbating the gap between rich and poor and
creating a "genetic divide". Even Lee M. Silver, the biologist and science writer who coined the term "reprogenetics"
and supports its applications, has expressed concern that these methods
could create a two-tiered society of genetically engineered "haves" and
"have nots" if social democratic reforms lag behind implementation of enhancement technologies. The 1997 film Gattaca depicts a dystopian society in which one's social class depends entirely on genetic potential and is often cited by critics in support of these views.
Sometimes, as in the writings of Leon Kass, the fear is that various institutions and practices judged as fundamental to civilized society would be damaged or destroyed. In his 2002 book Our Posthuman Future and in a 2004 Foreign Policy magazine article, political economist and philosopher Francis Fukuyama designates transhumanism as the world's most dangerous idea because he believes that it may undermine the egalitarian ideals of democracy (in general) and liberal democracy (in particular) through a fundamental alteration of "human nature". Social philosopher Jürgen Habermas makes a similar argument in his 2003 book The Future of Human Nature,
in which he asserts that moral autonomy depends on not being subject to
another's unilaterally imposed specifications. Habermas thus suggests
that the human "species ethic" would be undermined by embryo-stage
genetic alteration.
Critics such as Kass, Fukuyama and a variety of authors hold that
attempts to significantly alter human biology are not only inherently
immoral, but also threaten the social order. Alternatively, they argue that implementation of such technologies would likely lead to the "naturalizing" of social hierarchies or place new means of control in the hands of totalitarian regimes. AI pioneer Joseph Weizenbaum criticizes what he sees as misanthropic tendencies in the language and ideas of some of his colleagues, in particular Marvin Minsky and Hans Moravec, which, by devaluing the human organism per se, promotes a discourse that enables divisive and undemocratic social policies.
In a 2004 article in the libertarian monthly Reason, science journalist Ronald Bailey
contested the assertions of Fukuyama by arguing that political equality
has never rested on the facts of human biology. He asserts that liberalism was founded not on the proposition of effective equality of human beings, or de facto equality, but on the assertion of an equality in political rights and before the law, or de jure
equality. Bailey asserts that the products of genetic engineering may
well ameliorate rather than exacerbate human inequality, giving to the
many what were once the privileges of the few. Moreover, he argues, "the
crowning achievement of the Enlightenment is the principle of tolerance". In fact, he says, political liberalism is already the solution to the issue of human and posthuman
rights since in liberal societies the law is meant to apply equally to
all, no matter how rich or poor, powerful or powerless, educated or
ignorant, enhanced or unenhanced. Other thinkers who are sympathetic to transhumanist ideas, such as philosopher Russell Blackford, have also objected to the appeal to tradition and what they see as alarmism involved in Brave New World-type arguments.
Cultural aesthetics
In
addition to the socio-economic risks and implications of transhumanism,
there are indeed implications and possible consequences in regard to
cultural aesthetics. Currently, there are a number of ways in which
people choose to represent themselves in society. The way in which a
person dresses, hair styles, and body alteration all serve to identify
the way a person presents themselves and is perceived by society.
According to Foucault,
society already governs and controls bodies by making them feel
watched. This "surveillance" of society dictates how the majority of
individuals choose to express themselves aesthetically.
One of the risks outlined in a 2004 article by Jerold Abrams is
the elimination of differences in favor of universality. This, he
argues, will eliminate the ability of individuals to subvert the
possibly oppressive, dominant structure of society by way of uniquely
expressing themselves externally. Such control over a population would
have dangerous implications of tyranny. Yet another consequence of
enhancing the human form not only cognitively, but physically, will be
the reinforcement of "desirable" traits which are perpetuated by the
dominant social structure.
Physical traits which are seen as "ugly" or "undesirable" and thus
deemed less-than, will be summarily cut out by those who can afford to
do it, while those who cannot will be forced into a relative caste of
undesirable people. Even if these physical "improvements" are made
completely universal, they will indeed eliminate what makes each
individual uniquely human in their own way.
Specter of coercive eugenicism
Some critics of transhumanism see the old eugenics, social Darwinist, and master race
ideologies and programs of the past as warnings of what the promotion
of eugenic enhancement technologies might unintentionally encourage.
Some fear future "eugenics wars" as the worst-case scenario: the return of coercive state-sponsored genetic discrimination and human rights violations such as compulsory sterilization of persons with genetic defects, the killing of the institutionalized and, specifically, segregation and genocide of racesperceived as inferior. Health law professor George Annas and technology law professor Lori Andrews are prominent advocates of the position that the use of these technologies could lead to such human-posthumancaste warfare.
The major transhumanist organizations strongly condemn the coercion involved in such policies and reject the racist and classist assumptions on which they were based, along with the pseudoscientific
notions that eugenic improvements could be accomplished in a
practically meaningful time frame through selective human breeding. Instead, most transhumanist thinkers advocate a "new eugenics", a form of egalitarianliberal eugenics. In their 2000 book From Chance to Choice: Genetics and Justice,
non-transhumanist bioethicists Allen Buchanan, Dan Brock, Norman
Daniels and Daniel Wikler have argued that liberal societies have an
obligation to encourage as wide an adoption of eugenic enhancement
technologies as possible (so long as such policies do not infringe on
individuals' reproductive rights or exert undue pressures on prospective parents to use these technologies) in order to maximize public health and minimize the inequalities that may result from both natural genetic endowments and unequal access to genetic enhancements. Most transhumanists holding similar views nonetheless distance themselves from the term "eugenics" (preferring "germinal choice" or "reprogenetics") to avoid having their position confused with the discredited theories and practices of early-20th-century eugenic movements.
Existential risks
In his 2003 book Our Final Hour, British Astronomer RoyalMartin Rees
argues that advanced science and technology bring as much risk of
disaster as opportunity for progress. However, Rees does not advocate a
halt to scientific activity. Instead, he calls for tighter security and
perhaps an end to traditional scientific openness. Advocates of the precautionary principle, such as many in the environmental movement, also favor slow, careful progress or a halt in potentially dangerous areas. Some precautionists believe that artificial intelligence and robotics present possibilities of alternative forms of cognition that may threaten human life.
Transhumanists do not necessarily rule out specific restrictions on emerging technologies so as to lessen the prospect of existential risk. Generally, however, they counter that proposals based on the precautionary principle are often unrealistic and sometimes even counter-productive as opposed to the technogaian current of transhumanism, which they claim is both realistic and productive. In his television series Connections, science historianJames Burke dissects several views on technological change, including precautionism and the restriction of open inquiry. Burke questions the practicality of some of these views, but concludes that maintaining the status quo
of inquiry and development poses hazards of its own, such as a
disorienting rate of change and the depletion of our planet's resources.
The common transhumanist position is a pragmatic one where society
takes deliberate action to ensure the early arrival of the benefits of
safe, clean, alternative technology, rather than fostering what it considers to be anti-scientific views and technophobia.
Nick Bostrom argues that even barring the occurrence of a singular global catastrophic event, basic Malthusian and evolutionary forces facilitated by technological progress threaten to eliminate the positive aspects of human society.
One transhumanist solution proposed by Bostrom to counter existential risks is control of differential technological development,
a series of attempts to influence the sequence in which technologies
are developed. In this approach, planners would strive to retard the
development of possibly harmful technologies and their applications,
while accelerating the development of likely beneficial technologies,
especially those that offer protection against the harmful effects of
others.