An ocean-bottom seismometer (sailboat-like object) was trapped amid erupting magma in 2006 at the East Pacific Rise. Such instruments are providing new insights into the timing of eruptions. (Dan Fornari/Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution) |
New Data Show Strikingly Regular Patterns, From Weeks to Eons
Vast ranges of volcanoes hidden under the oceans are presumed by
scientists to be the gentle giants of the planet, oozing lava at slow,
steady rates along mid-ocean ridges. But a new study shows that they
flare up on strikingly regular cycles, ranging from two weeks to 100,000
years—and, that they erupt almost exclusively during the first six
months of each year. The pulses—apparently tied to short- and long-term
changes in earth’s orbit, and to sea levels--may help trigger natural
climate swings. Scientists have already speculated that volcanic cycles
on land emitting large amounts of carbon dioxide might influence
climate; but up to now there was no evidence from submarine volcanoes.
The findings suggest that models of earth’s natural climate dynamics,
and by extension human-influenced climate change, may have to be
adjusted. The study appears this week in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.
“People have ignored seafloor volcanoes on the idea that
their influence is small—but that’s because they are assumed to be in a
steady state, which they’re not,” said the study’s author, marine
geophysicist Maya Tolstoy of Columbia University’s Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory.
“They respond to both very large forces, and to very small ones, and
that tells us that we need to look at them much more closely.” A related
study by a separate team this week in the journal Science bolsters
Tolstoy’s case by showing similar long-term patterns of submarine
volcanism in an Antarctic region Tolstoy did not study.
Volcanically active mid-ocean ridges crisscross earth’s
seafloors like stitching on a baseball, stretching some 37,000 miles.
They are the growing edges of giant tectonic plates; as lavas push out,
they form new areas of seafloor, which comprise some 80 percent of the
planet’s crust. Conventional wisdom holds that they erupt at a fairly
constant rate--but Tolstoy finds that the ridges are actually now in a
languid phase. Even at that, they produce maybe eight times more lava
annually than land volcanoes. Due to the chemistry of their magmas, the
carbon dioxide they are thought to emit is currently about the same
as, or perhaps a little less than, from land volcanoes—about 88 million
metric tons a year. But were the undersea chains to stir even a little
bit more, their CO2 output would shoot up, says Tolstoy.
Magma from undersea eruptions congealed into forms known as pillow basalts on the Juan De Fuca Ridge, off the U.S. Pacific Northwest. A new study shows such eruptions wax and wane on regular schedules. (Deborah Kelley/University of Washington) |
Enter volcanoes. Researchers have suggested that as icecaps
build on land, pressure on underlying volcanoes also builds, and
eruptions are suppressed. But when warming somehow starts and the ice
begins melting, pressure lets up, and eruptions surge. They belch CO2
that produces more warming, which melts more ice, which creates a
self-feeding effect that tips the planet suddenly into a warm period. A 2009 paper from Harvard University
says that land volcanoes worldwide indeed surged six to eight times
over background levels during the most recent deglaciation, 12,000 to
7,000 years ago. The corollary would be that undersea volcanoes do the
opposite: as earth cools, sea levels may drop 100 meters, because so
much water gets locked into ice. This relieves pressure on submarine
volcanoes, and they erupt more. At some point, could the increased CO2
from undersea eruptions start the warming that melts the ice covering
volcanoes on land?
That has been a mystery, partly because undersea eruptions
are almost impossible to observe. However, Tolstoy and other researchers
recently have been able to closely monitor 10 submarine eruption sites
using sensitive new seismic instruments. They have also produced new
high-resolution maps showing outlines of past lava flows. Tolstoy
analyzed some 25 years of seismic data from ridges in the Pacific,
Atlantic and Arctic oceans, plus maps showing past activity in the south
Pacific.
Alternating ridges and valleys formed by volcanism near the East
Pacific Rise, a mid-ocean ridge in the Pacific Ocean. Such formations
indicate ancient highs and lows of volcanic activity. (Haymon et al.,
NOAA-OE, WHOI)
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The long-term eruption data, spread over more than 700,000 years, showed that during the coldest times, when sea levels are low, undersea volcanism surges, producing visible bands of hills. When things warm up and sea levels rise to levels similar to the present, lava erupts more slowly, creating bands of lower topography. Tolstoy attributes this not only to the varying sea level, but to closely related changes in earth’s orbit. When the orbit is more elliptical, Earth gets squeezed and unsqueezed by the sun’s gravitational pull at a rapidly varying rate as it spins daily—a process that she thinks tends to massage undersea magma upward, and help open the tectonic cracks that let it out. When the orbit is fairly (though not completely) circular, as it is now, the squeezing/unsqueezing effect is minimized, and there are fewer eruptions.
The idea that remote gravitational forces influence volcanism is mirrored by the short-term data, says Tolstoy. She says the seismic data suggest that today, undersea volcanoes pulse to life mainly during periods that come every two weeks. That is the schedule upon which combined gravity from the moon and sun cause ocean tides to reach their lowest points, thus subtly relieving pressure on volcanoes below. Seismic signals interpreted as eruptions followed fortnightly low tides at eight out of nine study sites. Furthermore, Tolstoy found that all known modern eruptions occur from January through June. January is the month when Earth is closest to the sun, July when it is farthest—a period similar to the squeezing/unsqueezing effect Tolstoy sees in longer-term cycles. “If you look at the present-day eruptions, volcanoes respond even to much smaller forces than the ones that might drive climate,” she said.
Daniel Fornari, a senior scientist at Woods Hole
Oceanographic Institution not involved in the research, called the study
“a very important contribution.” He said it was unclear whether the
contemporary seismic measurements signal actual lava flows or just
seafloor rumbles and cracking. But, he said, the study “clearly
could have important implications for better quantifying and
characterizing our assessment of climate variations over decadal to tens
to hundreds of thousands of years cycles.”
Edward Baker, a senior ocean scientist at the National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, said, “The most interesting
takeaway from this paper is that it provides further evidence that the
solid Earth, and the air and water all operate as a single system.”