| Soviet Union Russian Federation | |
|---|---|
 | |
| Nuclear program start date | 1943 |
| First nuclear weapon test | August 29, 1949 |
| First fusion weapon test | August 12, 1953 |
| Last nuclear test | October 24, 1990 |
| Largest yield test | 50 Mt (210 PJ) (Tsar Bomba, October 30, 1961) |
| Total tests | 715 detonations |
| Peak stockpile | 68,000 warheads (1990) |
| Current stockpile (usable and not) | 6,500 |
| Current strategic arsenal | 1,600 |
| Cumulative strategic arsenal in megatonnage | 663.5-801.5 (2016.est) (Variability occurs because of uncertainty about SS-18 yields) |
| Maximum missile range | Intercontinental up to 16,000 kilometers |
| NPT party | Yes (1968, one of five recognized powers) |
According to the Federation of American Scientists, an organization that assesses nuclear weapon stockpiles, as of 2018, the Russian Federation possesses 7,850 total nuclear warheads, of which 1,600 are strategically operational. This is in large part due to the special bomber counting rules allowed by the New START treaty, which counts each strategic nuclear bomber as one warhead irrespective of the number of warheads—gravity bombs and/or cruise missiles carried by the aircraft. The figures are, by necessity, only estimates because "the exact number of nuclear weapons in each country's possession is a closely held national secret." In addition to nuclear weapons, Russia declared an arsenal of 39,967 tons of chemical weapons in 1997. The Soviet Union ratified the Geneva Protocol on April 5, 1928 with reservations. The reservations were dropped on January 18, 2001. Russia is also party to the Biological Weapons Convention and the Chemical Weapons Convention. The Soviet Union had a peak stockpile of 45,000 nuclear warheads in 1986. It is estimated that from 1949 to 1991 the Soviet Union produced approximately 55,000 nuclear warheads.
Nuclear weapons
History
Post-Soviet era
At the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991, Soviet nuclear weapons were deployed in four of the new republics: Russia, Ukraine, Belarus and Kazakhstan. In May 1992, these four states signed the Lisbon Protocol, agreeing to join the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, with Russia the successor state to the Soviet Union as a nuclear state, and the other three states joining as non-nuclear states.
Ukraine agreed to give up its weapons to Russia, in exchange for
guarantees of Ukrainian territory from Russia, the United Kingdom, and
the United States, known as the Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances. China and France also made statements in support of the memorandum.
Nuclear arsenal of Russia
The exact number of nuclear warheads is a state secret and is therefore a matter of guesswork. The Federation of American Scientists
estimates that Russia possesses 6,500 nuclear weapons, while the United
States has 6,185; Russia and the U.S. each have 1,600 active deployed
strategic nuclear warheads.
The RS-28 Sarmat (Russian: РС-28 Сармат; NATO reporting name: SATAN 2), is a Russian liquid-fueled, MIRV-equipped, super-heavy thermonuclear armed intercontinental ballistic missile in development by the Makeyev Rocket Design Bureau from 2009, intended to replace the previous R-36 missile. Its large payload would allow for up to 10 heavy warheads or 15 lighter ones or up to 24 hypersonic glide vehicles Yu-71, or a combination of warheads and massive amounts of countermeasures designed to defeat anti-missile systems; it was heralded by the Russian military as a response to the U.S. Prompt Global Strike.
In 2015, information emerged that Russia may be developing a new nuclear torpedo, up to 100 megatons, the Status-6 Ocean Multipurpose System, codenamed "Kanyon" by Pentagon officials. This weapon is designed to create a tsunami wave up to 500m tall that will radioactively contaminate a wide area on an enemy coasts with cobalt-60, and to be immune to anti-missile defense systems such as laser weapons and railguns that might disable an ICBM. Two potential carrier submarines, the Project 09852 Belgorod, and the Project 09851 Khabarovsk, are new boats laid down in 2012 and 2014 respectively. Status 6 appears to be a deterrent weapon of last resort. It appears to be a torpedo-shaped robotic mini-submarine, that can travel at speeds of 185 km/h (100 kn).
More recent information suggests a top speed of 100 km/h (54 kn), with a
range of 10,000 km (6,200 mi) and a depth maximum of 1,000 m
(3,300 ft). This underwater drone is cloaked by stealth technology to elude acoustic tracking devices.
During an annual state-of-the-nation address given on March 1, 2018, President Vladimir Putin
publicly claimed that Russia was now in possession of several new
classes of nuclear weapons, including some with capabilities previously
speculated to exist. Putin discussed several new or upgraded weapons,
including an intercontinental missile known as the Avangard
capable of performing sharp maneuvers while traveling at 20 times the
speed of sound making it "absolutely invulnerable for any missile
defense system." Putin also discussed the existence of a nuclear powered underwater torpedo and a nuclear powered cruise missile,
both with effectively unlimited range. He also discussed that Russia
had tested a new class of traditional ICBM called the Sarmat, which
expanded upon the range and carrying capability of the Soviet-era Satan
ICBM. Animations of these weapons were shown in front of the live and
televised audience, and Putin suggested that an online poll be conducted
to give them official public names.
Nuclear weapons in Russian military doctrine
According to a Russian military doctrine stated in 2010, nuclear
weapons could be used by Russia "in response to the use of nuclear and
other types of weapons of mass destruction against it or its allies, and
also in case of aggression against Russia with the use of conventional
weapons when the very existence of the state is threatened".
Most military analysts believe that, in this case, Russia would pursue
an 'escalate to de-escalate’ strategy, initiating limited nuclear
exchange to bring adversaries to the negotiating table. Russia will also
threaten nuclear conflict to discourage initial escalation of any major
conventional conflict.
Nuclear proliferation
After the Korean War, the Soviet Union transferred nuclear technology and weapons to the People's Republic of China as an adversary of the United States and NATO. According to Ion Mihai Pacepa,
"Khrushchev's nuclear-proliferation process started with Communist
China in April 1955, when the new ruler in the Kremlin consented to
supply Beijing a sample atomic bomb and to help with its mass
production. Subsequently, the Soviet Union built all the essentials of
China's new military nuclear industry."
Russia is one of the five "Nuclear Weapons States" (NWS) under the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), which Russia ratified (as the Soviet Union) in 1968.
Following the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991, a number
of Soviet-era nuclear warheads remained on the territories of Belarus,
Ukraine, and Kazakhstan. Under the terms of the Lisbon Protocol
to the NPT, and following the 1995 Trilateral Agreement between Russia,
Belarus, and the USA, these were transferred to Russia, leaving Russia
as the sole inheritor of the Soviet nuclear arsenal. It is estimated
that the Soviet Union had approximately 45,000 nuclear weapons
stockpiled at the time of its collapse.
The collapse of the Soviet Union allowed for a warming of relations with NATO. Fears of a nuclear holocaust
lessened. In September 1997, the former secretary of the Russian
Security Council Alexander Lebed claimed 100 "suitcase sized" nuclear
weapons were unaccounted for. He said he was attempting to inventory the
weapons when he was fired by President Boris Yeltsin in October 1996. Indeed, several US politicians have expressed worries and promised legislation addressing the threat.
In 2002, the United States and Russia agreed to reduce their stockpiles to not more than 2,700 warheads each in the SORT
treaty. In 2003, the US rejected Russian proposals to further reduce
each nation's nuclear stockpiles to 1,500. Russia, in turn, refused to
discuss reduction of tactical nuclear weapons.
After U.S. President George W. Bush withdrew from the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, Russia responded by building-up their nuclear capabilities, in such a way as to counterbalance U.S. capabilities.
Most analysts agree that Russia’s nuclear strategy under Putin eventually brought it into violation of the 1987 Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (although) this is not confirmed). Because of this, U.S. President Donald Trump
announced the U.S. would no longer consider itself bound by the
treaty’s provisions, raising nuclear tensions between the two powers.
There were allegations that Russia contributed to North Korean nuclear program, selling it the equipment for the safe storage and transportation of nuclear materials. Nevertheless, Russia condemned North Korean nuclear tests since then.
According to high-ranking Russian SVR defector Sergei Tretyakov, a businessman told him that he keeps his own nuclear bomb at his dacha outside Moscow.
Nuclear sabotage allegations from Russia
The highest-ranking GRU defector Stanislav Lunev described alleged Soviet plans for using tactical nuclear weapons for sabotage against the United States in the event of war. He described Soviet-made suitcase nukes
identified as RA-115s (or RA-115-01s for submersible weapons) which
weigh from fifty to sixty pounds (23 kg - 27 kg). These portable bombs
can last for many years if wired to an electric source. "In case there
is a loss of power, there is a battery backup. If the battery runs low,
the weapon has a transmitter that sends a coded message – either by
satellite or directly to a GRU post at a Russian embassy or consulate.".
Lunev was personally looking for hiding places for weapons caches in the Shenandoah Valley area.
He said that "it is surprisingly easy to smuggle nuclear weapons into
the US" either across the Mexican border or using a small transport
missile that can slip though undetected when launched from a Russian
airplane.
Searches of the areas identified by Lunev – who admits he never planted
any weapons in the US – have been conducted, "but law-enforcement
officials have never found such weapons caches, with or without portable
nuclear weapons" in the US.
Biological weapons
Soviet program of biological weapons was initially developed by the
Ministry of Defense of the Soviet Union (between 1945 and 1973).
The Soviet Union signed the Biological Weapons Convention
on April 10, 1972 and ratified the treaty on March 26, 1975. However,
it subsequently augmented its biowarfare programs. After 1975, the
program of biological weapons was run primarily by the "civilian" Biopreparat
agency, although it also included numerous facilities run by the
Soviet Ministry of Defense, Ministry of Agriculture, Ministry of
Chemical Industry, Ministry of Health, and Soviet Academy of Sciences.
According to Ken Alibek, who was deputy-director of Biopreparat,
the Soviet biological weapons agency, and who defected to the United
States in 1992, weapons were developed in labs in isolated areas of the
Soviet Union including mobilization facilities at Omutininsk, Penza and Pokrov and research facilities at Moscow, Stirzhi and Vladimir. These weapons were tested at several facilities most often at "Rebirth Island" (Vozrozhdeniya) in the Aral Sea
by firing the weapons into the air above monkeys tied to posts, the
monkeys would then be monitored to determine the effects. According to
Alibek, although Soviet offensive program was officially ended in 1992,
Russia may be still involved in the activities prohibited by BWC.
In 1993, the story about the Sverdlovsk anthrax leak was published in Russia. The incident occurred when spores of anthrax were accidentally released from a military facility in the city of Sverdlovsk (formerly, and now again, Yekaterinburg)
1,500 km (930 mi) east of Moscow on April 2, 1979. The ensuing outbreak
of the disease resulted in 94 people becoming infected, 64 of whom died
over a period of six weeks.
Chemical weapons
Russia signed the Chemical Weapons Convention on January 13, 1993, and ratified it on November 5, 1997. Russia declared an arsenal of 39,967 tons of chemical weapons in 1997 consisting of:
- blister agents: Lewisite, mustard, Lewisite-mustard-mix (HL)
- nerve agents: Sarin, Soman, VX
Ratification was followed by three years of inaction on chemical weapons destruction because of the August 1998 Russian financial crisis.
Russia met its treaty obligations by destroying 1% of its chemical agents by the Chemical Weapons Convention's 2002 deadline,
but requested technical and financial assistance and extensions on the
deadlines of 2004 and 2007 due to the environmental challenges of
chemical disposal. This extension procedure spelled out in the treaty
has been utilized by other countries, including the United States. The extended deadline for complete destruction (April 2012) was not met.
As of October 2011, Russia has destroyed 57% of its stockpile. Russia
also destroyed all of its declared Category 2 (10,616 MTs) and Category 3
chemicals.
Russia has stored its chemical weapons (or the required chemicals) which it declared within the CWC at 8 locations: in Gorny (Saratov Oblast) (2.9% of the declared stockpile by mass) and Kambarka (Udmurt Republic) (15.9%) stockpiles already have been destroyed. In Shchuchye (Kurgan Oblast) (13.6%), Maradykovsky (Kirov Oblast) (17.4%) and Leonidovka (Penza Oblast) (17.2%) destruction takes place, while installations are under construction in Pochep (Bryansk Oblast) (18.8%) and Kizner (Udmurt Republic) (14.2%).
On 27 September 2017, OPCW announced that Russia had destroyed its entire chemical weapons stockpile.
Novichok agents
A range of Novichok agents were developed and tested in the 1970s and
1980s, but the intended Novichok weapons production site at the
Pavlodar Chemical Plant in Soviet Kazakhstan was still under construction when it was decided to demolish the chemical weapons building in 1987 in view of the forthcoming Chemical Weapons Convention.
In March 2018, former GRU agent Sergei Skripal and his daughter were poisoned in Salisbury, United Kingdom by a chemical agent later confirmed to be Novichok.
The incident raised new controversy over Russia's potential production
and use of chemical weapons, with the United Kingdom accusing the
Russian government or rogue Russian agents of orchestrating the attack, a
claim Russia repeatedly denied.
Disposal facilities
Russia has a number of factories for destruction of its chemical weapons arsenal: Gorny in Saratov Oblast, Kambarka in Udmurtia, Leonidovka Penza Oblast, Maradykovsky in Kirov Oblast, Shchuchye in Kurgan Oblast and the latest one Pochep in the Bryansk Oblast 70 km from the border with Ukraine, built with funds from Italy in accordance with the agreement signed between the two countries. The last Russian chemical disposal facility in Kizner, Udmurtia, was opened on December 2013.
