The mass of a planet within the Solar System is an adjusted parameter in the preparation of ephemerides. There are three variations of how planetary mass can be calculated:
The mass of a planet can be inferred from its effect on the orbits of other planets. In 1931-1948 flawed applications of this method led to incorrect calculations of the mass of Pluto.
Data from influence collected from the orbits of space probes can be used. Examples include Voyager probes to the outer planets and the MESSENGER spacecraft to Mercury.
Also, numerous other methods can give reasonable approximations. For instance, Varuna, a potential dwarf planet, rotates very quickly upon its axis, as does the dwarf planet Haumea. Haumea has to have a very high density in order not to be ripped apart by centrifugal forces.
Through some calculations, one can place a limit on the object's
density. Thus, if the object's size is known, a limit on the mass can be
determined. See the links in the aforementioned articles for more
details on this.
Choice of units
The choice of solar mass, M☉,
as the basic unit for planetary mass comes directly from the
calculations used to determine planetary mass. In the most precise case,
that of the Earth itself, the mass is known in terms of solar masses to twelve significant figures: the same mass, in terms of kilograms or other Earth-based units, is only known to five significant figures, which is less than a millionth as precise.
The difference comes from the way in which planetary masses are
calculated. It is impossible to "weigh" a planet, and much less the Sun,
against the sort of mass standards which are used in the laboratory. On
the other hand, the orbits of the planets give a great range of
observational data as to the relative positions of each body, and these
positions can be compared to their relative masses using Newton's law of universal gravitation (with small corrections for General Relativity
where necessary). To convert these relative masses to Earth-based units
such as the kilogram, it is necessary to know the value of the Newtonian constant of gravitation, G. This constant is remarkably difficult to measure in practice, and its value is known to a relative precision of only 2.2×10−5.
The solar mass is quite a large unit on the scale of the Solar System: 1.9884(2)×1030 kg. The largest planet, Jupiter, is 0.09% the mass of the Sun, while the Earth is about three millionths (0.0003%) of the mass of the Sun.
The mass of a planet has consequences for its structure by having a large mass, especially while it is in the hand of process of formation. A body with enough mass can overcome its compressive strength and achieve a rounded shape (roughly hydrostatic equilibrium). Since 2006, these objects have been classified as dwarf planet if it orbits around the Sun (that is, if it is not the satellite
of another planet). The threshold depends on a number of factors, such
as composition, temperature, and the presence of tidal heating. The
smallest body that is known to be rounded is Saturn's moon Mimas, at about 1⁄160000 the mass of Earth; on the other hand, bodies as large as the Kuiper belt object Salacia, at about 1⁄13000 the mass of Earth, may not have overcome their compressive strengths. Smaller bodies like asteroids are classified as "small Solar System bodies".
A dwarf planet, by definition, is not massive enough to have gravitationally cleared its neighbouring region of planetesimals.
The mass needed to do so depends on location: Mars clears its orbit in
its current location, but would not do so if it orbited in the Oort cloud.
The smaller planets retain only silicates and metals, and are terrestrial planets like Earth or Mars. The interior structure of rocky planets is mass-dependent: for example, plate tectonics may require a minimum mass to generate sufficient temperatures and pressures for it to occur.
Geophysical definitions would also include the dwarf planets and moons
in the outer Solar System, which are like terrestrial planets except
that they are composed of ice and rock rather than rock and metal: the
largest such bodies are Ganymede, Titan, Callisto, Triton, and Pluto.
If the protoplanet grows by accretion to more than about twice the mass of Earth, its gravity becomes large enough to retain hydrogen in its atmosphere. In this case, it will grow into an ice giant or gas giant. As such, Earth and Venus are close to the maximum size a planet can usually grow to while still remaining rocky. If the planet then begins migration, it may move well within its system's frost line, and become a hot Jupiter orbiting very close to its star, then gradually losing small amounts of mass as the star's radiation strips its atmosphere.
The theoretical minimum mass a star can have, and still undergo hydrogen fusion at the core, is estimated to be about 75MJ, though fusion of deuterium can occur at masses as low as 13 Jupiters.
Values from the DE405 ephemeris
The DE405/LE405 ephemeris from the Jet Propulsion Laboratory
is a widely used ephemeris dating from 1998 and covering the whole
Solar System. As such, the planetary masses form a self-consistent set,
which is not always the case for more recent data (see below).
Where
a planet has natural satellites, its mass is usually quoted for the
whole system (planet + satellites), as it is the mass of the whole
system which acts as a perturbation on the orbits of other planets. The
distinction is very slight, as natural satellites are much smaller than
their parent planets (as can be seen in the table above, where only the
largest satellites are even listed).
The Earth and the Moon form a case in point, partly because the
Moon is unusually large (just over 1% of the mass of the Earth) in
relation to its parent planet compared with other natural satellites.
There are also very precise data available for the Earth–Moon system,
particularly from the Lunar Laser Ranging experiment (LLR).
The geocentric gravitational constant – the product of the mass of the Earth times the Newtonian constant of gravitation
– can be measured to high precision from the orbits of the Moon and of
artificial satellites. The ratio of the two masses can be determined
from the slight wobble in the Earth's orbit caused by the gravitational
attraction of the Moon.
More recent values
The construction of a full, high-precision Solar System ephemeris is an onerous task.
It is possible (and somewhat simpler) to construct partial ephemerides
which only concern the planets (or dwarf planets, satellites, asteroids)
of interest by "fixing" the motion of the other planets in the model.
The two methods are not strictly equivalent, especially when it comes to
assigning uncertainties to the results: however, the "best" estimates –
at least in terms of quoted uncertainties in the result – for the
masses of minor planets and asteroids usually come from partial
ephemerides.
Nevertheless, new complete ephemerides continue to be prepared,
most notably the EPM2004 ephemeris from the Institute of Applied
Astronomy of the Russian Academy of Sciences. EPM2004 is based on 317014 separate observations between 1913 and 2003, more than seven times as many as DE405, and gave more precise masses for Ceres and five asteroids.
The 2009 set of "current best estimates" was updated in 2012 by resolution B2 of the IAU XXVIII General Assembly.
Improved values were given for Mercury and Uranus (and also for the Pluto system and Vesta).
Planet
Ratio of the solar mass to the planetary mass (including satellites)
The greenhouse effect occurs when greenhouse gases
in a planet's atmosphere insulate the planet from losing heat to space,
raising its surface temperature. Surface heating can happen from an
internal heat source as in the case of Jupiter, or from its host star as in the case of the Earth. In the case of Earth, the Sun emits shortwave radiation (sunlight) that passes through greenhouse gases to heat the Earth's surface. In response, the Earth's surface emits longwave radiation that is mostly absorbed
by greenhouse gases. The absorption of longwave radiation prevents it
from reaching space, reducing the rate at which the Earth can cool off.
Without the greenhouse effect, the Earth's average surface temperature would be as cold as −18 °C (−0.4 °F). This is of course much less than the 20th century average of about 14 °C (57 °F).[3][4] In addition to naturally present greenhouse gases, burning of fossil fuels has increased amounts of carbon dioxide and methane in the atmosphere. As a result, global warming of about 1.2 °C (2.2 °F) has occurred since the Industrial Revolution, with the global average surface temperature increasing at a rate of 0.18 °C (0.32 °F) per decade since 1981.
All objects with a temperature above absolute zero emit thermal radiation. The wavelengths of thermal radiation
emitted by the Sun and Earth differ because their surface temperatures
are different. The Sun has a surface temperature of 5,500 °C (9,900 °F),
so it emits most of its energy as shortwave radiation in near-infrared
and visible wavelengths (as sunlight). In contrast, Earth's surface has a
much lower temperature, so it emits longwave radiation at mid- and far-infrared wavelengths. A gas is a greenhouse gas if it absorbs longwave radiation.
Earth's atmosphere absorbs only 23% of incoming shortwave radiation,
but absorbs 90% of the longwave radiation emitted by the surface, thus accumulating energy and warming the Earth's surface.
The existence of the greenhouse effect, while not named as such, was proposed as early as 1824 by Joseph Fourier. The argument and the evidence were further strengthened by Claude Pouillet in 1827 and 1838. In 1856 Eunice Newton Foote
demonstrated that the warming effect of the sun is greater for air with
water vapour than for dry air, and the effect is even greater with
carbon dioxide. The term greenhouse was first applied to this phenomenon by Nils Gustaf Ekholm in 1901.
Definition
The greenhouse effect on Earth is defined as: "The infrared radiative effect of all infrared absorbing constituents in the atmosphere. Greenhouse gases (GHGs), clouds, and some aerosols absorb terrestrial radiation emitted by the Earth’s surface and elsewhere in the atmosphere."
The enhanced greenhouse effect describes the fact that by
increasing the concentration of GHGs in the atmosphere (due to human
action), the natural greenhouse effect is increased.
Terminology
The term greenhouse effect comes from an analogy to greenhouses. Both greenhouses and the greenhouse effect work by retaining heat from sunlight, but the way they retain heat differs. Greenhouses retain heat mainly by blocking convection (the movement of air). In contrast, the greenhouse effect retains heat by restricting radiative transfer through the air and reducing the rate at which thermal radiation is emitted into space.
Eunice Newton Foote recognized carbon dioxide's heat-capturing effect in 1856, appreciating its implications for the planet.
The greenhouse effect and its impact on climate were succinctly described in this 1912 Popular Mechanics article, accessible for reading by the general public.
The existence of the greenhouse effect, while not named as such, was proposed as early as 1824 by Joseph Fourier. The argument and the evidence were further strengthened by Claude Pouillet in 1827 and 1838. In 1856 Eunice Newton Foote
demonstrated that the warming effect of the sun is greater for air with
water vapour than for dry air, and the effect is even greater with
carbon dioxide. She concluded that "An atmosphere of that gas would give
to our earth a high temperature..."
John Tyndall
was the first to measure the infrared absorption and emission of
various gases and vapors. From 1859 onwards, he showed that the effect
was due to a very small proportion of the atmosphere, with the main
gases having no effect, and was largely due to water vapor, though small
percentages of hydrocarbons and carbon dioxide had a significant
effect. The effect was more fully quantified by Svante Arrhenius
in 1896, who made the first quantitative prediction of global warming
due to a hypothetical doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide. The term greenhouse was first applied to this phenomenon by Nils Gustaf Ekholm in 1901.
In 1896 Svante Arrhenius
used Langley's observations of increased infrared absorption where Moon
rays pass through the atmosphere at a low angle, encountering more carbon dioxide (CO2), to estimate an atmospheric cooling effect from a future decrease of CO2. He realized that the cooler atmosphere would hold less water vapor (another greenhouse gas)
and calculated the additional cooling effect. He also realized the
cooling would increase snow and ice cover at high latitudes, making the
planet reflect more sunlight and thus further cool down, as James Croll had hypothesized. Overall Arrhenius calculated that cutting CO2 in half would suffice to produce an ice age. He further calculated that a doubling of atmospheric CO2 would give a total warming of 5–6 degrees Celsius.
Measurement
Matter emits thermal radiation at a rate that is directly proportional to the fourth power of its temperature.
Some of the radiation emitted by the Earth's surface is absorbed by
greenhouse gases and clouds. Without this absorption, Earth's surface
would have an average temperature of −18 °C (−0.4 °F). However, because
some of the radiation is absorbed, Earth's average surface temperature
is around 15 °C (59 °F). Thus, the Earth's greenhouse effect may be
measured as a temperature change of 33 °C (59 °F).
Thermal radiation is characterized by how much energy it carries, typically in watts per square meter (W/m2).
Scientists also measure the greenhouse effect based on how much more
longwave thermal radiation leaves the Earth's surface than reaches
space. Currently, longwave radiation leaves the surface at an average rate of 398 W/m2, but only 239 W/m2 reaches space. Thus, the Earth's greenhouse effect can also be measured as an energy flow change of 159 W/m2.
The greenhouse effect can be expressed as a fraction (0.40) or
percentage (40%) of the longwave thermal radiation that leaves Earth's
surface but does not reach space.
Whether the greenhouse effect is expressed as a change in
temperature or as a change in longwave thermal radiation, the same
effect is being measured.
Strengthening of the greenhouse effect through additional greenhouse gases from human activities is known as the enhanced greenhouse effect. As well as being inferred from measurements by ARGO, CERES and other instruments throughout the 21st century, this increase in radiative forcing from human activity has been observed directly, and is attributable mainly to increased atmospheric carbon dioxide levels.
CO2 is produced by fossil fuel burning and other activities such as cement production and tropical deforestation. Measurements of CO2 from the Mauna Loa Observatory show that concentrations have increased from about 313 parts per million (ppm) in 1960, passing the 400 ppm milestone in 2013. The current observed amount of CO2 exceeds the geological record maxima (≈300 ppm) from ice core data.
Over the past 800,000 years, ice core data shows that carbon dioxide has varied from values as low as 180 ppm to the pre-industrial level of 270 ppm. Paleoclimatologists
consider variations in carbon dioxide concentration to be a fundamental
factor influencing climate variations over this time scale.
Sunlight is reflected and absorbed by the Earth and its
atmosphere. The atmosphere and clouds reflect about 23% and absorb 23%.
The surface reflects 7% and absorbs 48%. Overall, Earth reflects about 30% of the incoming sunlight, and absorbs the rest (240 W/m2).
Outgoing longwave radiation
The Earth and its atmosphere emit longwave radiation, also known as thermal infrared or terrestrial radiation. Informally, longwave radiation is sometimes called thermal radiation. Outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) is the radiation from Earth and its atmosphere that passes through the atmosphere and into space.
The greenhouse effect can be directly seen in graphs of Earth's
outgoing longwave radiation as a function of frequency (or wavelength).
The area between the curve for longwave radiation emitted by Earth's
surface and the curve for outgoing longwave radiation indicates the size
of the greenhouse effect.
Different substances are responsible for reducing the radiation
energy reaching space at different frequencies; for some frequencies,
multiple substances play a role.
Carbon dioxide is understood to be responsible for the dip in outgoing
radiation (and associated rise in the greenhouse effect) at around
667 cm−1 (equivalent to a wavelength of 15 microns).
Each layer of the atmosphere with greenhouse gases absorbs some
of the longwave radiation being radiated upwards from lower layers. It
also emits longwave radiation in all directions, both upwards and
downwards, in equilibrium with the amount it has absorbed. This results
in less radiative heat loss and more warmth below. Increasing the
concentration of the gases increases the amount of absorption and
emission, and thereby causing more heat to be retained at the surface
and in the layers below.
Effective temperature
The power of outgoing longwave radiation emitted by a planet corresponds to the effective temperature of the planet. The effective temperature is the temperature that a planet radiating with a uniform temperature (a blackbody) would need to have in order to radiate the same amount of energy.
This concept may be used to compare the amount of longwave
radiation emitted to space and the amount of longwave radiation emitted
by the surface:
Emissions to space: Based on its emissions of longwave radiation to space, Earth's overall effective temperature is −18 °C (0 °F).
Emissions from surface: Based on thermal emissions from the surface, Earth's effective surface temperature is about 16 °C (61 °F), which is 34 °C (61 °F) warmer than Earth's overall effective temperature.
Earth's surface temperature is often reported in terms of the average near-surface air temperature. This is about 15 °C (59 °F),
a bit lower than the effective surface temperature. This value is 33 °C
(59 °F) warmer than Earth's overall effective temperature.
Energy flux
Energy flux is the rate of energy flow per unit area. Energy flux is expressed in units of W/m2, which is the number of joules
of energy that pass through a square meter each second. Most fluxes
quoted in high-level discussions of climate are global values, which
means they are the total flow of energy over the entire globe, divided
by the surface area of the Earth, 5.1×1014 m2 (5.1×108 km2; 2.0×108 sq mi).
The fluxes of radiation arriving at and leaving the Earth are important because radiative transfer is the only process capable of exchanging energy between Earth and the rest of the universe.
Radiative balance
The temperature of a planet depends on the balance
between incoming radiation and outgoing radiation. If incoming
radiation exceeds outgoing radiation, a planet will warm. If outgoing
radiation exceeds incoming radiation, a planet will cool. A planet will
tend towards a state of radiative equilibrium, in which the power of outgoing radiation equals the power of absorbed incoming radiation.
Earth's energy imbalance
is the amount by which the power of incoming sunlight absorbed by
Earth's surface or atmosphere exceeds the power of outgoing longwave
radiation emitted to space. Energy imbalance is the fundamental
measurement that drives surface temperature. A UN presentation says "The EEI is the most critical number defining the prospects for continued global warming and climate change."
One study argues, "The absolute value of EEI represents the most
fundamental metric defining the status of global climate change."
Earth's energy imbalance (EEI) was about 0.7 W/m2 as of around 2015, indicating that Earth as a whole is accumulating thermal energy and is in a process of becoming warmer.
Over 90% of the retained energy goes into warming the oceans,
with much smaller amounts going into heating the land, atmosphere, and
ice.
Day and night cycle
A simple picture assumes a steady state, but in the real world, the day/night (diurnal)
cycle, as well as the seasonal cycle and weather disturbances,
complicate matters. Solar heating applies only during daytime. At night
the atmosphere cools somewhat, but not greatly because the thermal inertia of the climate system resists changes both day and night, as well as for longer periods. Diurnal temperature changes decrease with height in the atmosphere.
In the lower portion of the atmosphere, the troposphere,
the air temperature decreases (or "lapses") with increasing altitude.
The rate at which temperature changes with altitude is called the lapse rate.
On Earth, the air temperature decreases by about 6.5 °C/km (3.6 °F per 1000 ft), on average, although this varies.
The temperature lapse is caused by convection. Air warmed by the surface rises. As it rises, air expands and cools.
Simultaneously, other air descends, compresses, and warms. This
process creates a vertical temperature gradient within the atmosphere.
This vertical temperature gradient is essential to the greenhouse
effect. If the lapse rate was zero (so that the atmospheric temperature
did not vary with altitude and was the same as the surface temperature)
then there would be no greenhouse effect (i.e., its value would be
zero).
Emission temperature and altitude
Greenhouse gases make the atmosphere near Earth's surface mostly
opaque to longwave radiation. The atmosphere only becomes transparent to
longwave radiation at higher altitudes, where the air is less dense,
there is less water vapor, and reduced pressure broadening of absorption lines limits the wavelengths that gas molecules can absorb.
For any given wavelength, the longwave radiation that reaches space is emitted by a particular radiating layer
of the atmosphere. The intensity of the emitted radiation is determined
by the weighted average air temperature within that layer. So, for any
given wavelength of radiation emitted to space, there is an associated effective emission temperature (or brightness temperature).
A given wavelength of radiation may also be said to have an effective emission altitude, which is a weighted average of the altitudes within the radiating layer.
The effective emission temperature and altitude vary by
wavelength (or frequency). This phenomenon may be seen by examining
plots of radiation emitted to space.
Greenhouse gases and the lapse rate
Earth's surface radiates longwave radiation with wavelengths in the range of 4–100 microns.
Greenhouse gases that were largely transparent to incoming solar
radiation are more absorbent for some wavelengths in this range.
The atmosphere near the Earth's surface is largely opaque to longwave radiation and most heat loss from the surface is by evaporation and convection.
However radiative energy losses become increasingly important higher in
the atmosphere, largely because of the decreasing concentration of
water vapor, an important greenhouse gas.
Rather than thinking of longwave radiation headed to space as
coming from the surface itself, it is more realistic to think of this
outgoing radiation as being emitted by a layer in the mid-troposphere, which is effectively coupled to the surface by a lapse rate.
The difference in temperature between these two locations explains the
difference between surface emissions and emissions to space, i.e., it
explains the greenhouse effect.
A
greenhouse gas (GHG) is a gas which contributes to the trapping of heat
by impeding the flow of longwave radiation out of a planet's
atmosphere. Greenhouse gases contribute most of the greenhouse effect in
Earth's energy budget.
Infrared active gases
Gases which can absorb and emit longwave radiation are said to be infrared active and act as greenhouse gases.
Most gases whose molecules have two different atoms (such as carbon monoxide, CO), and all gases with three or more atoms (including H2O and CO2), are infrared active and act as greenhouse gases. (Technically, this is because when these molecules vibrate, those vibrations modify the molecular dipole moment, or asymmetry in the distribution of electrical charge. See Infrared spectroscopy.)
Gases with only one atom (such as argon, Ar) or with two identical atoms (such as nitrogen, N 2, and oxygen, O 2)
are not infrared active. They are transparent to longwave radiation,
and, for practical purposes, do not absorb or emit longwave radiation.
(This is because their molecules are symmetrical and so do not have a
dipole moment.) Such gases make up more than 99% of the dry atmosphere.
Absorption and emission
Greenhouse gases absorb and emit longwave radiation within specific ranges of wavelengths (organized as spectral lines or bands).
When greenhouse gases absorb radiation, they distribute the
acquired energy to the surrounding air as thermal energy (i.e., kinetic
energy of gas molecules). Energy is transferred from greenhouse gas
molecules to other molecules via molecular collisions.
Contrary to what is sometimes said, greenhouse gases do not
"re-emit" photons after they are absorbed. Because each molecule
experiences billions of collisions per second, any energy a greenhouse
gas molecule receives by absorbing a photon will be redistributed to
other molecules before there is a chance for a new photon to be emitted.
In a separate process, greenhouse gases emit longwave radiation,
at a rate determined by the air temperature. This thermal energy is
either absorbed by other greenhouse gas molecules or leaves the
atmosphere, cooling it.
Radiative effects
Effect on air: Air is warmed by latent heat (buoyant water vapor condensing into water droplets and releasing heat), thermals (warm air rising from below), and by sunlight being absorbed in the atmosphere. Air is cooled radiatively, by greenhouse gases and clouds emitting longwave thermal radiation. Within the troposphere,
greenhouse gases typically have a net cooling effect on air, emitting
more thermal radiation than they absorb. Warming and cooling of air are
well balanced, on average, so that the atmosphere maintains a roughly
stable average temperature.
Effect on surface cooling: Longwave radiation flows both
upward and downward due to absorption and emission in the atmosphere.
These canceling energy flows reduce radiative surface cooling (net
upward radiative energy flow). Latent heat transport and thermals
provide non-radiative surface cooling which partially compensates for
this reduction, but there is still a net reduction in surface cooling,
for a given surface temperature.
Effect on TOA energy balance: Greenhouse gases impact the
top-of-atmosphere (TOA) energy budget by reducing the flux of longwave
radiation emitted to space, for a given surface temperature. Thus,
greenhouse gases alter the energy balance at TOA. This means that the
surface temperature needs to be higher (than the planet's effective temperature,
i.e., the temperature associated with emissions to space), in order for
the outgoing energy emitted to space to balance the incoming energy
from sunlight.
It is important to focus on the top-of-atmosphere (TOA) energy budget
(rather than the surface energy budget) when reasoning about the warming
effect of greenhouse gases.
Clouds and aerosols have both cooling effects, associated with
reflecting sunlight back to space, and warming effects, associated with
trapping thermal radiation.
On average, clouds have a strong net cooling effect. However, the
mix of cooling and warming effects varies, depending on detailed
characteristics of particular clouds (including their type, height, and
optical properties).
Thin cirrus clouds can have a net warming effect. Clouds can absorb and
emit infrared radiation and thus affect the radiative properties of the
atmosphere.
Atmospheric aerosols affect the climate of the Earth by changing the amount of incoming solar radiation
and outgoing terrestrial longwave radiation retained in the Earth's
system. This occurs through several distinct mechanisms which are split
into direct, indirect
and semi-direct aerosol effects. The aerosol climate effects are the
biggest source of uncertainty in future climate predictions. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) stated in 2001:
While the radiative forcing due to greenhouse gases
may be determined to a reasonably high degree of accuracy... the
uncertainties relating to aerosol radiative forcings remain large, and
rely to a large extent on the estimates from global modeling studies
that are difficult to verify at the present time.
Basic formulas
Effective temperature
A given flux of thermal radiation has an associated effective radiating temperature or effective temperature. Effective temperature is the temperature that a black body (a perfect absorber/emitter) would need to be to emit that much thermal radiation. Thus, the overall effective temperature of a planet is given by
where OLR is the average flux (power per unit area) of outgoing longwave radiation emitted to space and is the Stefan-Boltzmann constant. Similarly, the effective temperature of the surface is given by
where SLR is the average flux of longwave radiation emitted by the
surface. (OLR is a conventional abbreviation. SLR is used here to denote
the flux of surface-emitted longwave radiation, although there is no
standard abbreviation for this.)
Metrics for the greenhouse effect
The IPCC reports the greenhouse effect, G, as being 159 W m-2, where G
is the flux of longwave thermal radiation that leaves the surface minus
the flux of outgoing longwave radiation that reaches space:
Alternatively, the greenhouse effect can be described using the normalized greenhouse effect, g̃, defined as
The normalized greenhouse effect is the fraction of the amount of thermal radiation emitted by the surface that does not reach space.
Based on the IPCC numbers, g̃ = 0.40. In other words, 40 percent less thermal radiation reaches space than what leaves the surface.
Sometimes the greenhouse effect is quantified as a temperature
difference. This temperature difference is closely related to the
quantities above.
When the greenhouse effect is expressed as a temperature difference, ,
this refers to the effective temperature associated with thermal
radiation emissions from the surface minus the effective temperature
associated with emissions to space:
Informal discussions of the greenhouse effect often compare the
actual surface temperature to the temperature that the planet would have
if there were no greenhouse gases. However, in formal technical
discussions, when the size of the greenhouse effect is quantified as a
temperature, this is generally done using the above formula. The formula
refers to the effective surface temperature rather than the actual
surface temperature, and compares the surface with the top of the
atmosphere, rather than comparing reality to a hypothetical situation.
The temperature difference, , indicates how much warmer a planet's surface is than the planet's overall effective temperature.
A planet's temperature will tend to shift towards a state of
radiative equilibrium, in which the TOA energy imbalance is zero, i.e., . When the planet is in radiative equilibrium, the overall effective temperature of the planet is given by
Thus, the concept of radiative equilibrium is important because it
indicates what effective temperature a planet will tend towards having.
If, in addition to knowing the effective temperature, , we know the value of the greenhouse effect, then we know the mean (average) surface temperature of the planet.
This is why the quantity known as the greenhouse effect is
important: it is one of the few quantities that go into determining the
planet's mean surface temperature.
Greenhouse effect and temperature
Typically, a planet will be close to radiative equilibrium, with the
rates of incoming and outgoing energy being well-balanced. Under such
conditions, the planet's equilibrium temperature is determined by the
mean solar irradiance and the planetary albedo (how much sunlight is
reflected back to space instead of being absorbed).
The greenhouse effect measures how much warmer the surface is
than the overall effective temperature of the planet. So, the effective
surface temperature, , is, using the definition of ,
One could also express the relationship between and using G or g̃.
So, the principle that a larger greenhouse effect corresponds to a
higher surface temperature, if everything else (i.e., the factors that
determine ) is held fixed, is true as a matter of definition.
Note that the greenhouse effect influences the temperature of the
planet as a whole, in tandem with the planet's tendency to move toward
radiative equilibrium.
Misconceptions
There are sometimes misunderstandings about how the greenhouse effect functions and raises temperatures.
The surface budget fallacy is a common error in thinking. It involves thinking that an increased CO2
concentration could only cause warming by increasing the downward
thermal radiation to the surface, as a result of making the atmosphere a
better emitter. If the atmosphere near the surface is already nearly
opaque to thermal radiation, this would mean that increasing CO2
could not lead to higher temperatures. However, it is a mistake to
focus on the surface energy budget rather than the top-of-atmosphere
energy budget. Regardless of what happens at the surface, increasing the
concentration of CO2
tends to reduce the thermal radiation reaching space (OLR), leading to a
TOA energy imbalance that leads to warming. Earlier researchers like Callendar (1938) and Plass (1959) focused on the surface budget, but the work of Manabe in the 1960s clarified the importance of the top-of-atmosphere energy budget.
Among those who do not believe in the greenhouse effect, there is
a fallacy that the greenhouse effect involves greenhouse gases sending
heat from the cool atmosphere to the planet's warm surface, in violation
of the second law of thermodynamics. However, this idea reflects a misunderstanding. Radiation heat flow is the net energy flow after the flows of radiation in both directions have been taken into account. Radiation heat flow occurs in the direction from the surface to the atmosphere and space, as is to be expected
given that the surface is warmer than the atmosphere and space. While
greenhouse gases emit thermal radiation downward to the surface, this is
part of the normal process of radiation heat transfer.
The downward thermal radiation simply reduces the upward thermal
radiation net energy flow (radiation heat flow), i.e., it reduces
cooling.
Simplified models are sometimes used to support understanding of how
the greenhouse effect comes about and how this affects surface
temperature.
Atmospheric layer models
The greenhouse effect can be seen to occur in a simplified model in which the air is treated as if it is single uniform layer exchanging radiation with the ground and space. Slightly more complex models add additional layers, or introduce convection.
Equivalent emission altitude
One simplification is to treat all outgoing longwave radiation as
being emitted from an altitude where the air temperature equals the
overall effective temperature for planetary emissions, . Some authors have referred to this altitude as the effective radiating level (ERL), and suggest that as the CO2 concentration increases, the ERL must rise to maintain the same mass of CO2 above that level.
This approach is less accurate than accounting for variation in
radiation wavelength by emission altitude. However, it can be useful in
supporting a simplified understanding of the greenhouse effect. For instance, it can be used to explain how the greenhouse effect increases as the concentration of greenhouse gases increase.
Earth's overall equivalent emission altitude has been increasing
with a trend of 23 m (75 ft)/decade, which is said to be consistent with
a global mean surface warming of 0.12 °C (0.22 °F)/decade over the
period 1979–2011.
Related effects on Earth
Negative greenhouse effect
Scientists have observed that, at times, there is a negative greenhouse effect over parts of Antarctica.
In a location where there is a strong temperature inversion, so that
the air is warmer than the surface, it is possible for the greenhouse
effect to be reversed, so that the presence of greenhouse gases
increases the rate of radiative cooling to space. In this case, the rate
of thermal radiation emission to space is greater than the rate at
which thermal radiation is emitted by the surface. Thus, the local value
of the greenhouse effect is negative.
Runaway greenhouse effect
Most scientists believe that a runaway greenhouse effect is inevitable
in the long term, as the Sun gradually becomes more luminous as it ages,
and will spell the end of all life on Earth. As the Sun becomes 10%
brighter about one billion years from now, the surface temperature of
Earth will reach 47 °C (117 °F) (unless Albedo
is increased sufficiently), causing the temperature of Earth to rise
rapidly and its oceans to boil away until it becomes a greenhouse
planet, similar to Venus today.
In the solar system, apart from the Earth, at least two other planets and a moon also have a greenhouse effect.
Venus
The greenhouse effect on Venus
is particularly large, and it brings the surface temperature to as high
as 735 K (462 °C; 863 °F). This is due to its very dense atmosphere
which consists of about 97% carbon dioxide.
Although Venus is about 30% closer to the Sun, it absorbs (and is warmed by) less sunlight
than Earth, because Venus reflects 77% of incident sunlight while Earth
reflects around 30%. In the absence of a greenhouse effect, the surface
of Venus would be expected to have a temperature of 232 K (−41 °C;
−42 °F). Thus, contrary to what one might think, being nearer to the Sun
is not a reason why Venus is warmer than Earth.
Due to its high pressure, the CO2 in the atmosphere of Venus exhibits continuum absorption
(absorption over a broad range of wavelengths) and is not limited to
absorption within the bands relevant to its absorption on Earth.
A runaway greenhouse effect involving carbon dioxide and water vapor has for many years been hypothesized to have occurred on Venus; this idea is still largely accepted. The planet Venus experienced a runaway greenhouse effect, resulting in an atmosphere which is 96% carbon dioxide, and a surface atmospheric pressure
roughly the same as found 900 m (3,000 ft) underwater on Earth. Venus
may have had water oceans, but they would have boiled off as the mean
surface temperature rose to the current 735 K (462 °C; 863 °F).
Mars
Mars has about 70 times as much carbon dioxide as Earth, but experiences only a small greenhouse effect, about 6 K (11 °F). The greenhouse effect is small due to the lack of water vapor and the overall thinness of the atmosphere.
The same radiative transfer calculations that predict warming on
Earth accurately explain the temperature on Mars, given its atmospheric
composition.
Titan
Saturn's moon Titan has both a greenhouse effect and an anti-greenhouse effect. The presence of nitrogen (N2), methane (CH4), and hydrogen (H2)
in the atmosphere contribute to a greenhouse effect, increasing the
surface temperature by 21 K (38 °F) over the expected temperature of the
body without these gases.
While the gases N2 and H2 ordinarily do not
absorb infrared radiation, these gases absorb thermal radiation on
Titan due to pressure-induced collisions, the large mass and thickness
of the atmosphere, and the long wavelengths of the thermal radiation
from the cold surface.
The existence of a high-altitude haze, which absorbs wavelengths
of solar radiation but is transparent to infrared, contribute to an
anti-greenhouse effect of approximately 9 K (16 °F).
The net result of these two effects is a warming of 21 K − 9 K =
12 K (22 °F), so Titan's surface temperature of 94 K (−179 °C; −290 °F)
is 12 K warmer than it would be if there were no atmosphere.
Effect of pressure
One cannot predict the relative sizes of the greenhouse effects on
different bodies simply by comparing the amount of greenhouse gases in
their atmospheres. This is because factors other than the quantity of
these gases also play a role in determining the size of the greenhouse
effect.
Overall atmospheric pressure affects how much thermal radiation
each molecule of a greenhouse gas can absorb. High pressure leads to
more absorption and low pressure leads to less.
This is due to "pressure broadening" of spectral lines.
When the total atmospheric pressure is higher, collisions between
molecules occur at a higher rate. Collisions broaden the width of
absorption lines, allowing a greenhouse gas to absorb thermal radiation
over a broader range of wavelengths.
Each molecule in the air near Earth's surface experiences about 7
billion collisions per second. This rate is lower at higher altitudes,
where the pressure and temperature are both lower.
This means that greenhouse gases are able to absorb more wavelengths in
the lower atmosphere than they can in the upper atmosphere.
On other planets, pressure broadening means that each molecule of
a greenhouse gas is more effective at trapping thermal radiation if the
total atmospheric pressure is high (as on Venus), and less effective at
trapping thermal radiation if the atmospheric pressure is low (as on
Mars).